Message from @Louis Carlos Fer

Discord ID: 625545049845006343


2019-09-23 02:33:55 UTC  

If the US goes tits up the rest of the world is soon to follow

2019-09-23 02:34:07 UTC  

Like, that day

2019-09-23 02:38:04 UTC  

Global societal collapse imo is pretty close to impossible without an few several million acts of god. People group up. That's just how shit goes. Unless we're talking in fiction, in which case, sure, I can suspend my disbelief to enjoy a good story.

2019-09-23 02:41:09 UTC  

I mean I don't think countries are going to cease to exist, I merely think that without the US around being the big swingin' dick on the block there's suddenly gonna be about a hundred more wars worldwide. What are the odds South Korea remains un-nuked if the US is too concerned with a war on its home turf to halp them out. What do you think happens in the South China Sea when China has free reign? Shit will hit the fan around the globe

2019-09-23 02:42:00 UTC  

Probably eventually yeah, but not all at once. That would take serious planning and be a 'perfect storm '

2019-09-23 02:43:09 UTC  

Maybe within a day was hyperbolic, but give it one year and the rest of the world is kerfuckled, I'd bet any amount of fiat currency.

2019-09-23 02:43:23 UTC  

Well, for definitions of kerfuckled I suppose

2019-09-23 03:41:27 UTC  

controversial opinion of the day: Pink Floyd is the Rick and Morty of musicians

2019-09-23 03:41:29 UTC  

change my mind

2019-09-23 03:43:23 UTC  

What do you mean by this

2019-09-23 03:45:29 UTC  

"iT's aN aCquIReD TaStE"

2019-09-23 03:45:40 UTC  

"tbf, you gotta have a high IQ to understand Pink Floyd"

2019-09-23 03:47:02 UTC  

Can't change your mind about what you've seen the fans say. Everything has annoying fans though.

2019-09-23 04:01:36 UTC  

If by that you mean "it's only good if you get super high first"then yes I agree @Deleted User

2019-09-23 04:01:46 UTC  

^

2019-09-23 04:02:08 UTC  

@A. Spader you get me

2019-09-23 04:03:14 UTC  

Thanks man

2019-09-23 04:03:38 UTC  

Im not sure that's a compliment

2019-09-23 04:05:30 UTC  

I took it as one

2019-09-23 04:12:07 UTC  

Truly, the only good music is pre-baroque classical music.

2019-09-23 04:12:41 UTC  

Anything after is degeneracy

2019-09-23 04:20:12 UTC  

Renaissance music? No

2019-09-23 04:20:23 UTC  

Post Beethoven romantic era

2019-09-23 04:20:38 UTC  

And a little impressionist/ modern

2019-09-23 04:57:27 UTC  

A couple years ago I saw a video by an insurance something-or-other numbers guy who concluded we're overdue for a collapse.
I'm sorry I can't find it now, but something-something numbers said we *should* have had a global collapse something like a few years before he made the video based on average occasion.
In the hopes someone else knows what I'm talking about, he compared it to a 1ØØ year flood...

2019-09-24 01:59:13 UTC  

You can't predict chaotic catastrophic events. 100 year floods don't happen on 100 year intervals either.

2019-09-24 02:26:23 UTC  

The historian apparently doesn't know how history works;
*"The term "100-year flood" is used in an attempt to simplify the definition of a flood that statistically has a 1-percent chance of occurring in any given year. Likewise, the term "100-year storm" is used to define a rainfall event that statistically has this same 1-percent chance of occurring."*
https://www.usgs.gov/special-topic/water-science-school/science/100-year-flood
At least try making it **hard**...

2019-09-24 02:47:20 UTC  

Are you talking to me? Why are you mad?

2019-09-24 02:49:24 UTC  

He was born in the mad, molded by it. He didn't see calm till he was already a man

2019-09-24 02:49:57 UTC  

The thing he posted agrees with what I said. 1 percent chance in a given year =/= occurs at 100 year intervals.

2019-09-24 02:54:45 UTC  

1x100

2019-09-24 02:54:50 UTC  

hey guys I can math

2019-09-24 02:55:16 UTC  

¿What is this *"calm"* you speak of? It strikes me as a four-letter word...

2019-09-24 02:55:30 UTC  

But a one percent chance every year doesn't like stack or some shit. You could go every year for a thousand years and never roll a 1 so to speak

2019-09-24 02:56:18 UTC  

I mean over the very long term, it should *average* to 100 years per flood, but the chance that there will be one in any given 100 year period is only like 65%.

2019-09-24 02:56:20 UTC  

And you can go three years and hit natural 1 all of them... So there's that.

2019-09-24 02:56:44 UTC  

And *"Peace"* is a dirty word.

2019-09-24 02:57:17 UTC  

Screenshot that... BTW, Mark owes you a small thank you. 🤣🤣🤣🤣

2019-09-24 02:58:33 UTC  

63.4% according to my quick calculation...

1 - (0.99^100) = 0.634