Message from @Louis Carlos Fer
Discord ID: 625545049845006343
If the US goes tits up the rest of the world is soon to follow
Like, that day
Global societal collapse imo is pretty close to impossible without an few several million acts of god. People group up. That's just how shit goes. Unless we're talking in fiction, in which case, sure, I can suspend my disbelief to enjoy a good story.
I mean I don't think countries are going to cease to exist, I merely think that without the US around being the big swingin' dick on the block there's suddenly gonna be about a hundred more wars worldwide. What are the odds South Korea remains un-nuked if the US is too concerned with a war on its home turf to halp them out. What do you think happens in the South China Sea when China has free reign? Shit will hit the fan around the globe
Probably eventually yeah, but not all at once. That would take serious planning and be a 'perfect storm '
Maybe within a day was hyperbolic, but give it one year and the rest of the world is kerfuckled, I'd bet any amount of fiat currency.
Well, for definitions of kerfuckled I suppose
controversial opinion of the day: Pink Floyd is the Rick and Morty of musicians
change my mind
What do you mean by this
"iT's aN aCquIReD TaStE"
"tbf, you gotta have a high IQ to understand Pink Floyd"
Can't change your mind about what you've seen the fans say. Everything has annoying fans though.
If by that you mean "it's only good if you get super high first"then yes I agree @Deleted User
^
@A. Spader you get me
Thanks man
Im not sure that's a compliment
I took it as one
Truly, the only good music is pre-baroque classical music.
Renaissance music? No
Post Beethoven romantic era
And a little impressionist/ modern
A couple years ago I saw a video by an insurance something-or-other numbers guy who concluded we're overdue for a collapse.
I'm sorry I can't find it now, but something-something numbers said we *should* have had a global collapse something like a few years before he made the video based on average occasion.
In the hopes someone else knows what I'm talking about, he compared it to a 1ØØ year flood...
You can't predict chaotic catastrophic events. 100 year floods don't happen on 100 year intervals either.
The historian apparently doesn't know how history works;
*"The term "100-year flood" is used in an attempt to simplify the definition of a flood that statistically has a 1-percent chance of occurring in any given year. Likewise, the term "100-year storm" is used to define a rainfall event that statistically has this same 1-percent chance of occurring."*
https://www.usgs.gov/special-topic/water-science-school/science/100-year-flood
At least try making it **hard**...
Well, making me mad had one beneficial side effect:
https://medium.com/s/story/the-surprisingly-solid-mathematical-case-of-the-tin-foil-hat-gun-prepper-15fce7d10437
Are you talking to me? Why are you mad?
He was born in the mad, molded by it. He didn't see calm till he was already a man
The thing he posted agrees with what I said. 1 percent chance in a given year =/= occurs at 100 year intervals.
1x100
hey guys I can math
¿What is this *"calm"* you speak of? It strikes me as a four-letter word...
But a one percent chance every year doesn't like stack or some shit. You could go every year for a thousand years and never roll a 1 so to speak
I mean over the very long term, it should *average* to 100 years per flood, but the chance that there will be one in any given 100 year period is only like 65%.
And you can go three years and hit natural 1 all of them... So there's that.
And *"Peace"* is a dirty word.
Screenshot that... BTW, Mark owes you a small thank you. 🤣🤣🤣🤣
63.4% according to my quick calculation...
1 - (0.99^100) = 0.634