Message from @Louis Carlos Fer
Discord ID: 625890288040280100
Well, making me mad had one beneficial side effect:
https://medium.com/s/story/the-surprisingly-solid-mathematical-case-of-the-tin-foil-hat-gun-prepper-15fce7d10437
Are you talking to me? Why are you mad?
He was born in the mad, molded by it. He didn't see calm till he was already a man
The thing he posted agrees with what I said. 1 percent chance in a given year =/= occurs at 100 year intervals.
1x100
hey guys I can math
¿What is this *"calm"* you speak of? It strikes me as a four-letter word...
But a one percent chance every year doesn't like stack or some shit. You could go every year for a thousand years and never roll a 1 so to speak
I mean over the very long term, it should *average* to 100 years per flood, but the chance that there will be one in any given 100 year period is only like 65%.
And you can go three years and hit natural 1 all of them... So there's that.
And *"Peace"* is a dirty word.
Screenshot that... BTW, Mark owes you a small thank you. 🤣🤣🤣🤣
63.4% according to my quick calculation...
1 - (0.99^100) = 0.634
Probability is weird.
Anyways... The point is, even with his gross underestimatation (we've had 5 civil wars so far, we only CALL one of them a civil war), we are currently overdue for a crisis.
wat
What are the other four?
That I can see, but what were the others O___o
The Baltimore riots were another one I can _maybe_ see
lil town, rigging their elections, townsfolk didn't like that so much, rooty tooty point and shooty occured
@Deleted User
Whiskey/Shay's Rebellion, Unionization Wars (when a ***BOMBER*** is part of the *"protest," it's a war*), McMinn County War (Louis got one), and the Westward Wars (railmen v. farmers, cattlemen v. sheepherders [and each other], etc.).
I've previously heard of exactly *one* of those
Remember, *'civil war'* means the people against each other, be it directly or by proxy (the government). The English Civil War didn't involve the Crown until the last couple years... At which point it was going 2Ø-ish years.
SPADER, the McMinn County War is also known as The Battle Of Athens... So 2...
it was the Whiskey rebellion I knew of
got a patch with the flag and everything
Doesn't war need to be declared for it to be war?
umm
we haven't declared war on a country since 1941
I dont mean via Congress. I just mean in general. Meta
Guess it depends how you define war
If you're a filthy socialist just existing with more than someone else is war
Well you can't declare battle on someone, you can't declare a skirmish, you can't declare a kerfuffle.
I DECLARE A KERFUFFLE
KERFUFFLE ON YOU, AND ON YOU SIR!
WE SHALL HAVE A ROUSING HULLABALLOO
I SAY NAY GOOD SIR
HAVE AT THEE
Viet Nam was never declared... Nor was Korean for that matter...
But ¿who cares about all that right? They weren't *real* wars...
Virgin Police Action vs Chad Declared War