the courts didnt just decide it on their own

disaster recipe https://twitter.com/Ruptly/status/1176584934187786242?s=20

So we've had a constitutional coup and are one step closer to civil war

I hope the establishment are proud of themselves

notice its completely drowned out the other news this morning

inevitable

the news about the leave campaign

of course

that the courts have found no evidence of wrongdoing

I did fear Boris would fuck this all up, and i'm being proven right so far

Yep, just like they exhonerated the leave spinoff campaign with that young dude

and good luck with this https://twitter.com/BloombergTV/status/1176613651601510400?s=20

this isn't Boris messing it up, this is Boris fighting against people that don't understand that if they keep fighting for what they want they will lose everything.

it is him messing it up

there was no need to prorogue for 5 weeks

there was no reason not to either

sure there was

why? there is nothing the government can currently do

we now have a constitutional shitshow where the judiciary has overthrown the constitution and the queen is pissed off, and it's a PR disaster

it was a miscalculation

it was a constitutional shitshow long before Boris was pm

yes

nevertheless this was an unforced error

it wasn't an error, the only other thing he could do was sit and let parliament run amuck for 5 weeks.

he played his only card at the time

i don't agree, there's little more parilament could have done to him that wasn't already done

The Electoral Calculus is giving a 1% chance of Prime Minister Nigel Farage in the next GE

That's too high

It's 0

i'd say Farage has a chance

unless boris gives a no deal brexit

I'll tell you what is going to happen

Boris will not be able to get a deal

THe EU will refuse an extension

THere will be a vote of no confidence

A government of national unity will be formed to revoke Article 50

An election will then be called

That won't happen

The only other possible outcome is the EU allows an extension, and an election will be called

The Electoral Calculus is saying that the most likely event in any GE is a Conservative Majority

A vote of no confidence means an election automatically