Message from @Eccles

Discord ID: 626177624703631371


2019-09-24 21:51:44 UTC  

there was no reason not to either

2019-09-24 21:51:49 UTC  

sure there was

2019-09-24 21:52:05 UTC  

why? there is nothing the government can currently do

2019-09-24 21:52:12 UTC  

we now have a constitutional shitshow where the judiciary has overthrown the constitution and the queen is pissed off, and it's a PR disaster

2019-09-24 21:52:40 UTC  

it was a miscalculation

2019-09-24 21:52:45 UTC  

it was a constitutional shitshow long before Boris was pm

2019-09-24 21:52:51 UTC  

yes

2019-09-24 21:52:56 UTC  

nevertheless this was an unforced error

2019-09-24 21:53:24 UTC  

it wasn't an error, the only other thing he could do was sit and let parliament run amuck for 5 weeks.

2019-09-24 21:53:45 UTC  

he played his only card at the time

2019-09-24 21:55:07 UTC  

i don't agree, there's little more parilament could have done to him that wasn't already done

2019-09-24 22:00:26 UTC  

The Electoral Calculus is giving a 1% chance of Prime Minister Nigel Farage in the next GE

2019-09-24 22:03:37 UTC  

That's too high

2019-09-24 22:03:40 UTC  

It's 0

2019-09-24 22:05:09 UTC  

i'd say Farage has a chance

2019-09-24 22:05:21 UTC  

unless boris gives a no deal brexit

2019-09-24 22:05:46 UTC  

I'll tell you what is going to happen

2019-09-24 22:05:54 UTC  

Boris will not be able to get a deal

2019-09-24 22:06:02 UTC  

THe EU will refuse an extension

2019-09-24 22:06:07 UTC  

THere will be a vote of no confidence

2019-09-24 22:06:19 UTC  

A government of national unity will be formed to revoke Article 50

2019-09-24 22:06:29 UTC  

An election will then be called

2019-09-24 22:06:31 UTC  

That won't happen

2019-09-24 22:06:52 UTC  

The only other possible outcome is the EU allows an extension, and an election will be called

2019-09-24 22:06:53 UTC  

The Electoral Calculus is saying that the most likely event in any GE is a Conservative Majority

2019-09-24 22:07:12 UTC  

A vote of no confidence means an election automatically

2019-09-24 22:07:13 UTC  

The electoral calculus is wrong

2019-09-24 22:07:17 UTC  

No, it does not ANdy

2019-09-24 22:07:34 UTC  

If the Lib-Dems and Labour can't agree it does

2019-09-24 22:07:37 UTC  

There is nobody else who could form a government

2019-09-24 22:07:41 UTC  

The Lib Dems and Labour will agree

2019-09-24 22:07:48 UTC  

And Jo Swinson has said that she wouldn't put Corbyn into no 10

2019-09-24 22:07:54 UTC  

Corbyn will step aside for it

2019-09-24 22:08:07 UTC  

Corbyn is a Brexiteer at heart

2019-09-24 22:08:10 UTC  

He ain't

2019-09-24 22:08:11 UTC  

He won't do it

2019-09-24 22:08:26 UTC  

He is only staying on the fence because his part is Remain

2019-09-24 22:08:30 UTC  

He's been advocating for it for 20 years

2019-09-24 22:08:41 UTC  

I don't care what he's been advocating for - he's a party animal

2019-09-24 22:08:42 UTC  

Nearly every Socialist and Communist party in the country supports leaving

2019-09-24 22:09:09 UTC  

Whatever waffle you want to put forward, we won't be leaving the EU on 31st of October