Message from @Eccles
Discord ID: 626177553392074772
it is him messing it up
there was no need to prorogue for 5 weeks
there was no reason not to either
sure there was
why? there is nothing the government can currently do
we now have a constitutional shitshow where the judiciary has overthrown the constitution and the queen is pissed off, and it's a PR disaster
it was a miscalculation
it was a constitutional shitshow long before Boris was pm
yes
nevertheless this was an unforced error
it wasn't an error, the only other thing he could do was sit and let parliament run amuck for 5 weeks.
he played his only card at the time
i don't agree, there's little more parilament could have done to him that wasn't already done
The Electoral Calculus is giving a 1% chance of Prime Minister Nigel Farage in the next GE
That's too high
It's 0
i'd say Farage has a chance
unless boris gives a no deal brexit
I'll tell you what is going to happen
Boris will not be able to get a deal
THere will be a vote of no confidence
A government of national unity will be formed to revoke Article 50
An election will then be called
That won't happen
The only other possible outcome is the EU allows an extension, and an election will be called
The Electoral Calculus is saying that the most likely event in any GE is a Conservative Majority
A vote of no confidence means an election automatically
The electoral calculus is wrong
No, it does not ANdy
If the Lib-Dems and Labour can't agree it does
There is nobody else who could form a government
The Lib Dems and Labour will agree
And Jo Swinson has said that she wouldn't put Corbyn into no 10
Corbyn will step aside for it
Corbyn is a Brexiteer at heart
He ain't
He won't do it
He is only staying on the fence because his part is Remain
He's been advocating for it for 20 years
I don't care what he's been advocating for - he's a party animal