Message from @Eccles
Discord ID: 631475336936423424
Their models aren't sophisticated enough
However all we have are these polls so I think youre wrong.
They're the same models that predicted a remain and Hilary victory
I don't care how much Cons loose, LibDems won't go into coalition with Corbynistas
They will
Actually they are the same polls read opinium
Who are showing the biggest majority
Who predicted brexit victory
There's practically no difference between LibDems and Labour across most policy - they'll negotiate some common ground with economic policy and a coalition will be formed
I think they would go into coalition, they're desperate for power, you can see it in jo swinson, she's terrifying
No they won't. Why do you think they keep refusing Corbyn as interim PM?
Because they are leveraging the situation to get a better deal, Bot
Again lots of conjecture
Everything we have points to the opposite
You're gonna have to have more than that
Hmm. If LibDems were able to get PM from labour, I could see that, I guess.
Again, the majorities are predicted Without needing DUP
Or a TBP pact
But then labour would have to give up the PM seat, and that will be a hard sell.
No way libdems are going into a govt with Corbyn as PM though
Interesting theory, however everything we have heard shows the opposite
I think how well the Tories do will depend to a certain extent on what happens between now and then
If they extend they will have the have a pact with TPB by the polls
Tbp and cons should just merge, make Fromage the deputy pm
For a majority, they need a net gain of what... 44? Don't see it
"But muhhopinionpolls!"
They need to gain MPs they first lost
Since the rebels will be replaced for one
It's not as if that 44 all belong to other parties
So yeah I see it
If you think those indies will be voted back in you might be mistaken
Some of those indies are going to split the vote
But that's only 21 anyway
You are also putting all your eggs on the two parties that seem to hate each others guts and not agree on anything suddenly going kumbaya
The likely hood is they will just split each other's vote
They will to an extent
Just as Lib Dems will split the Tory vote
As BP will split both the Tory and Labour vote
Essentially going maximum pessimism
Mapping out the possible and probable outcomes isn't "maximum pessism"