Message from @busillis

Discord ID: 781947523337027675


2020-11-27 18:09:18 UTC  

@realz I think it boils to this... Matt Braynard is asserting that he has found smoke and it is proof of a forest fire. I think based on the results that he outlined in the video, it would be more accurate to say that he found some wisps of smoke... it could be a forest fire, but it could also be a campfire.

2020-11-27 18:09:57 UTC  

No I don't think he said it was proof of anything

2020-11-27 18:10:11 UTC  

Go listen to his intro again

2020-11-27 18:10:25 UTC  

He says it warrants official investigation basically

2020-11-27 18:11:02 UTC  

And you are being unfair to him in several other ways

2020-11-27 18:11:34 UTC  

Like expecting him to pass your other litmus tests of null hypothesis over time (previous election) and space (other states)

2020-11-27 18:11:49 UTC  

He is running on money he barely managed to raise and ran out in the middlr

2020-11-27 18:12:06 UTC  

It is the _government_ that should be doing what _he_ is doing

2020-11-27 18:12:17 UTC  

This is the domain of the FBI and state officials

2020-11-27 18:13:10 UTC  

And your expectation of affadivits from everyone is frankly ridiculous

2020-11-27 18:13:16 UTC  

I agree, he said look at the evidence and draw your own conclusions

2020-11-27 18:13:39 UTC  

I have to choose my words more carefully.

2020-11-27 18:13:52 UTC  

No one wants to dox themselves for this that is a nutty expectation

2020-11-27 18:14:28 UTC  

> I have to choose my words more carefully.
@TaLoN132 A lot of people should think about doing that.

2020-11-27 18:14:48 UTC  

The IC stuff might be a valid point, I don't know enough and am willing to concede it

2020-11-27 18:15:06 UTC  

It is a bonus in anycase

2020-11-27 18:15:25 UTC  

It is not the main thrust of what he even tried to test for

2020-11-27 18:19:10 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/781947240218361856/unknown.png

2020-11-27 18:19:40 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/781947366261260338/unknown.png

2020-11-27 18:20:55 UTC  

How do i make this my ringtone

2020-11-27 18:22:18 UTC  
2020-11-27 18:22:38 UTC  

He sure did

2020-11-27 18:23:09 UTC  

Certainly that's an extremely weird thing to say

2020-11-27 18:23:19 UTC  

.

2020-11-27 18:24:12 UTC  

It could even be more strange to hear it.

2020-11-27 18:24:32 UTC  

'That's just how he speaks.' 'He was joking.' 'It was locker room talk.'

2020-11-27 18:24:46 UTC  

@realz I get the idea of trying to test a sample in order to get an idea of the whole, but I think there are logical problems with what he can draw with what they did. Sampling is a daunting endeavor with questionable reliability in the best of circumstances - take polling for instance. To get reasonably reliable data, many controls are required. Given the exceedingly short timeframe, he couldn't reasonably expected to have accomplished that. I know that he provides some qualifications at the beginning of the video and identifies some caveats throughout, but he knows that his target audience are not likely to take those into consideration. I am going to listen to the interview and see if he makes a point of qualifying his findings.

2020-11-27 18:25:08 UTC  

@Adam135, you just advanced to level 10!

2020-11-27 18:25:10 UTC  

Frankly, covfefe.

2020-11-27 18:25:22 UTC  

things aren't boding well for the Donald it seems

2020-11-27 18:26:10 UTC  

Locker room talk? I like it.

2020-11-27 18:26:16 UTC  

hell get'em in 4 years

2020-11-27 18:26:19 UTC  

I know you do.

2020-11-27 18:27:32 UTC  

> things aren't boding well for the Donald it seems
@Adam135 All they need is one hit in order to forget the litany of misses and get all hyper again. It doesn't even matter how important the hit is.

2020-11-27 18:28:15 UTC  

Trump is done. His flock will never be.

2020-11-27 18:28:40 UTC  

they are trying to see what sticks

2020-11-27 18:29:01 UTC  

Yes. Yes they are. It's all fantasy.