Message from @AdvanceManExtraordinaire

Discord ID: 783044156594978860


2020-11-30 18:55:00 UTC  

No, it isn't a mathematical law, nor is it a legal law. It is a colloquial law, like Murphy's law, or Betteridge's law, or Godwin's law

2020-11-30 18:55:01 UTC  

@AdvanceManExtraordinaire Ok I see now. Court ruling.

2020-11-30 18:55:03 UTC  

He does way more than just benfords law as well.

2020-11-30 18:55:17 UTC  

I was about to reference Godwin's law for the meme.

2020-11-30 18:55:18 UTC  

@Maw, you just advanced to level 24!

2020-11-30 18:55:29 UTC  

I agree it’s possible different states would have different fraud methodology, and that’s fine, but it wouldn’t necessarily convince me there was widespread election fraud alone

2020-11-30 18:55:30 UTC  

!rank

2020-11-30 18:55:31 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/783043555098492958/card.png

2020-11-30 18:55:53 UTC  

This means you have no life 😛

2020-11-30 18:56:06 UTC  

@AdvanceManExtraordinaire That was my point. It's not a necessary component of 'proof'.

2020-11-30 18:56:15 UTC  

I thought you had retaken your rightful spot... @Maw

2020-11-30 18:56:19 UTC  

its been used to initiate probable cause in the past https://www.wsj.com/articles/accountants-increasingly-use-data-analysis-to-catch-fraud-1417804886 it was only controversial once it was applied to US politics

2020-11-30 18:56:19 UTC  

🤔 Leap in logic fallacy

2020-11-30 18:56:25 UTC  

There have been proven cases of voter fraud before. If you make the fantastical claim of wide spread voter fraud you would have to prove it. Like I said the affidavits don’t mean anything is they can’t be verified. @AdvanceManExtraordinaire

2020-11-30 18:57:04 UTC  

It can be used to initiate probably cause perhaps, but someone who has actually studied the _math_ (as I have) will understand that it will just give false-positives for fraud if you use it on any distribution that is narrow

2020-11-30 18:57:05 UTC  

Spears doesn’t understand math or understands benfords law

2020-11-30 18:57:12 UTC  

go tell people sitting life in prison that affadavits mean nothing

2020-11-30 18:57:21 UTC  

That’s fair. I could challenge you on that, and reference a handful of court rulings in which justice was indeed not served, but it’s a reasonable spot to be in if you don’t have access to all the information.

2020-11-30 18:57:28 UTC  

🤷🏻‍♂️🤷🏻‍♂️

2020-11-30 18:57:50 UTC  

Affidavits that can’t be proven are worthless @SPEARS you can’t convict someone on a affidavit alone

2020-11-30 18:57:55 UTC  

And how would you verify the affidavits?

2020-11-30 18:58:08 UTC  

Benford's law is used as a means to show irregularities worth investing more time into investigation.

2020-11-30 18:58:17 UTC  

It's by no means an adequate tool of proof.

2020-11-30 18:58:22 UTC  

if anyone is interested in actually _trying_ benford's law on random normal distributions, see here: https://observablehq.com/@realazthat/benfords-law/2

2020-11-30 18:58:37 UTC  

the only way to get it to work is to raise the sigma

2020-11-30 18:58:39 UTC  

Well In some cases you can’t . Some lady say she saw something. You can’t prove that false or true unless there were camera present or something @AdvanceManExtraordinaire

2020-11-30 18:58:49 UTC  

no one is claiming it is, however people are claiming it isn

2020-11-30 18:58:57 UTC  

isnt realiable for anything

2020-11-30 18:59:08 UTC  

Watch what i sent... that goes into every countr point you make....

2020-11-30 18:59:14 UTC  

there is no situation where actual random data will apply to benfords law

2020-11-30 18:59:20 UTC  

I'm watching

2020-11-30 18:59:20 UTC  

This is the nature of affidavits that were used in court https://youtu.be/Q_get06-tgo “lies and spam” @AdvanceManExtraordinaire

2020-11-30 18:59:25 UTC  

Have there been any evidentiary hearings?

2020-11-30 18:59:29 UTC  

That is incorrect

2020-11-30 18:59:48 UTC  

Thanks! Pm me after if you like. I really want to know

2020-11-30 19:00:04 UTC  

I recommend watching the latest rr group video explaining the purpose of the earlier court cases

2020-11-30 19:00:26 UTC  

Not to mention that tabulated voter data is hardly random...

2020-11-30 19:00:27 UTC  

Whether it's reliable or not I have no idea, I don't think they have released any information on how frequently Benford's law leads to finding financial fraud.

2020-11-30 19:00:46 UTC  

there is no such thing as random in sets of numbers entirely generated by human interaction

2020-11-30 19:00:52 UTC  

he's claiming my demonstration shouldn't work (it clearly does ... just raise the sigma)

2020-11-30 19:00:55 UTC  

I understand the purpose. It’s to get try and stall for time so they can put something together. But even what they have put together so far is still speculation @AdvanceManExtraordinaire