Message from @SilverLining

Discord ID: 500081268306739218


2018-10-11 21:17:26 UTC  

The same problem europe is having will happen to china in the next 10-15 years

2018-10-11 21:27:10 UTC  

U.s is gonna grow but not at the same rate. I can imagine the US going at a more consistent rate. China will probably fluctuate.

2018-10-11 21:32:24 UTC  

It really depends on how Trump does in this trade war. If Trump can exploit the vulnerabilities in the Chinese economy then China will crash and have a tough time trying to recover

2018-10-11 21:50:30 UTC  

China's going to pass the US

2018-10-11 21:50:33 UTC  

China has the option of just letting their old die though

2018-10-11 21:50:36 UTC  

in terms of GDP

2018-10-11 21:50:45 UTC  

The US population is aging too

2018-10-11 21:50:49 UTC  

most populations are

2018-10-11 21:50:56 UTC  

Sans immigrants

2018-10-11 21:51:15 UTC  

Not to neglect migrants, of course, though with xenophobic, isolationist attitudes...

2018-10-11 21:51:21 UTC  

Well, the US is definitely going to be aging

2018-10-11 21:53:08 UTC  

yeah, the US's tfr is 1.9

2018-10-11 21:53:29 UTC  

Not terrible, but below replacement by a fair bit

2018-10-11 21:54:24 UTC  

to be fair, China has a lower tfr, but that's artificial

2018-10-11 21:55:16 UTC  

Hello.

2018-10-11 22:04:36 UTC  

China will surpass the United States

2018-10-11 22:28:04 UTC  

China will surpass the US simply because they are not a democracy and can implement reforms faster to face long term problems, like the fertility rate.
To to be fair the male/female ratio in China is going to cause some problems in the future

2018-10-11 22:37:43 UTC  

The cost of that is the second the government becomes weak or stops producing results everything collapses @名被盜

2018-10-11 22:38:11 UTC  

They can’t use the militaristic strategy since they have a massive population and working class

2018-10-11 23:04:11 UTC  

Militarism isn't really enough to dominate the world anyways

2018-10-11 23:04:25 UTC  

At least, in the 21st century

2018-10-11 23:04:36 UTC  

It is

2018-10-11 23:04:42 UTC  

Not really

2018-10-11 23:04:49 UTC  

It's all about that GDP

2018-10-11 23:04:55 UTC  

You just have to have support from the US

2018-10-11 23:05:04 UTC  

Especially manufacturing industries imo

2018-10-11 23:05:05 UTC  

Look at Israel for example

2018-10-11 23:05:13 UTC  

chad israel

2018-10-11 23:05:13 UTC  

Not known for being a world power

2018-10-11 23:05:22 UTC  

not a world power but doesn't need to be

2018-10-11 23:05:26 UTC  

it has dominance in the region

2018-10-11 23:05:29 UTC  

only threat is Iran

2018-10-11 23:05:36 UTC  

Israel is literally conquering middle eastern nations and asserting itself on their people

2018-10-11 23:05:57 UTC  

And the US loves it for some reason

2018-10-11 23:05:58 UTC  

The middle east is the one exception

2018-10-11 23:06:02 UTC  

'cuz actual wars

2018-10-11 23:06:07 UTC  

Also Christians. The reason is Christians.

2018-10-11 23:06:18 UTC  

Lebanon?

2018-10-11 23:06:50 UTC  

I’d say anywhere between Eastern Europe and the Far East is susceptible

2018-10-11 23:06:56 UTC  

But besides in the middle east, the military doesn't really matter terribly much

2018-10-11 23:07:00 UTC  

Especially major powers