Message from @[Lex]
Discord ID: 489565810160041984
Yeah, that I agree with, for best realisticly possible outcome.
> Ohio
> lean
The Democrat candidate sucks and he’s in scandal
@Rhodesiaboo Scandals don't effect democrats.
Only republicans.
Remember Cliton.
bro
what
Bill won ez
Yeah
I was talking about Bill.
ah
Lmao that scandal family.
Yeah.
Economy is #1 :)
(((they))) did their job.
Georgia is not safe
There's also no evidence that FL is a tilt.
And a tilt for WI and IA? What objective reasoning can support these predictions??
There's not even GOP internals that predict these.
You'll be in for a rude awakening if those are your genuine predictions.
Oops, I accidentally said Georgia & Oklahoma were safe, yeah.
Also, I put lean for Iowa & Wisconsin.
Also, as for Iowa, it's largely trends-based. They support Trump, and it's extremely unlikely that soy farmers will revolt on non-federal ballots.
@[Lex] I don't think he's basing these on polls
in fact
I'm pretty sure he isn't
I tihnk he's using his intuition
and knowledge of how each state is
Indeed.
Ohio is also more pro-Trump than Arizona.
if I based it on polls as they are right now
I'd be predicting le blue wave
but....no point doing so
Plus a lot of these states are data deficient, poll-wise, anyway
let's see what the polls are in Late October and November 1-5
If I see one Emerson poll saying Iowa is leaning blue, not only am I not going to take it seriously, but most of the poll analysts aren't actually taking it seriously either.