Eh, I dunno

Show me something that proves otherwise

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Montana,_2018

Every poll and projection since September

And of course

Even (D) internals are now showing Tester in the margin of error

And then you've got Menendez and Sinema at _likely D_

VA, NM, and ME are all solid despite the fact they're not predictable races.

And you wonder why I hate polls

Also, some polls actually show Hugin still near the margin of error, and there are recent polls in AZ saying McSally is leading

And if you think MS-Special isn't solid red, remember this is a state with a fucking Confederate flag on its flag that identifies as the Sovereign State of Mississippi under Almighty God.

Both MS races are Safe R

HEY EVERYONE

If you live in the US, google local elections coming up and volunteer a few evenings to help out the campaign in your state. The benefits you can deliver may provide the push needed to secure seats. But the more significant impact is the personal/professional/political networks and experience you gain. You will be able to better understand the system, and by doing so, develop yourself for activism that delievers impacts during the "off season". It can open a lot of doors for you as well. Get a friend or two to join you and encourage them to involve other folks. We need young, energetic, and involved people to drive home the message that the conservative/nationalist message resonates with the people and inspire those who feel hopeless.

Thanks.

https://twitter.com/burgessev/status/1050485351431725057

There are few things more satisfying than Mitch raping the democrats.

Hearing all these nominees get confirmed in the background on C-SPAN is max /comfy/.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-txsen-2.html
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-tnsen-2.html

Polls back up.

https://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2018/10/in_his_first_general_election.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

Good news. Hopefully a lot of long shot races tighten as candidates stop saving and start spending.

Finished Tennessee Poll.

Finished Texas poll.

inb4 *omggggg junk poll*

The NYT is famous for its neo-nazi bias

I believe Nate Cohn is a Nazi himself.

*anyone who believes these polls is a fascist!*

https://redstorm2018.wordpress.com/2018/10/12/nytimes-upshot-siena-college-poll-analysis-tn-sen/

https://redstorm2018.wordpress.com/2018/10/12/nytimes-upshot-siena-college-poll-analysis-tx-sen/

Good news @FLanon @[Lex] @Pielover19 @Nuke @reagent

If you added all 12 undecideds who prefer Republicans to retain control of the Senate to Cruz’s percentage, you get 51% + (12/42 * 5%) = 52.43%. Add the 8 who approve of Trump, and you get 51% + (20/42 * 5%) = 53.38%.

If you added all 6 undecideds who prefer the Democrats take control of the Senate to O’Rourke’s percentage, you get 43% + (6/42 * 5%) = 43.71%

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https://redstorm2018.wordpress.com/2018/10/12/nytimes-upshot-siena-college-poll-analysis-nv-sen/

https://twitter.com/ComfortablySmug/status/1050737887669563393

lmao thanks for sharing this @reagent

https://twitter.com/johninphx/status/1050851899409231873

Chemicals. In. The. Water.

Contrail Kyrsten!

@Julien Blanc https://uselectionatlas.org/ENDORSE/SENATE/2018/endorse.php Do you think the Atlas endorsements in MD & DE look like good indicators?

Carper has a domestic violence scandal (and he admitted he did it) and Maryland has a black Republican.

I wish Drumpf would've talked about Rennaci more during that rally. It's great that he's trying to get people to vote for himself by proxy, but so few people even know these rust belt guys' names.

there was an Ohio rally today?

yes