Message from @Liberty Spectre

Discord ID: 500025045511307265


2018-10-11 16:45:44 UTC  

Although I'd say West Virginia will likely go Rep, I don't have the confidence to make it lean R yet

2018-10-11 16:45:56 UTC  

I think we have a better shot at taking down Tester than Manchin

2018-10-11 16:46:09 UTC  

I agree

2018-10-11 16:46:30 UTC  

If Manchin decided to vote against Kavanaugh we'd have a much better shot

2018-10-11 16:46:35 UTC  

Alas...

2018-10-11 16:48:53 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444207280855187466/499986761364144128/Screenshot_2018-10-11_at_12.48.30_PM.png

2018-10-11 16:54:58 UTC  

Liberal Tester is not likely D

2018-10-11 17:00:20 UTC  

Eh, I dunno

2018-10-11 17:00:28 UTC  

Show me something that proves otherwise

2018-10-11 17:04:46 UTC  

Every poll and projection since September

2018-10-11 17:05:02 UTC  

And of course

2018-10-11 17:05:28 UTC  

Even (D) internals are now showing Tester in the margin of error

2018-10-11 17:05:42 UTC  

And then you've got Menendez and Sinema at _likely D_

2018-10-11 17:06:12 UTC  

VA, NM, and ME are all solid despite the fact they're not predictable races.

2018-10-11 17:07:13 UTC  

And you wonder why I hate polls

2018-10-11 17:09:35 UTC  

Also, some polls actually show Hugin still near the margin of error, and there are recent polls in AZ saying McSally is leading

2018-10-11 17:10:53 UTC  

And if you think MS-Special isn't solid red, remember this is a state with a fucking Confederate flag on its flag that identifies as the Sovereign State of Mississippi under Almighty God.

2018-10-11 17:19:31 UTC  

Both MS races are Safe R

2018-10-11 19:21:00 UTC  

HEY EVERYONE

If you live in the US, google local elections coming up and volunteer a few evenings to help out the campaign in your state. The benefits you can deliver may provide the push needed to secure seats. But the more significant impact is the personal/professional/political networks and experience you gain. You will be able to better understand the system, and by doing so, develop yourself for activism that delievers impacts during the "off season". It can open a lot of doors for you as well. Get a friend or two to join you and encourage them to involve other folks. We need young, energetic, and involved people to drive home the message that the conservative/nationalist message resonates with the people and inspire those who feel hopeless.

Thanks.

2018-10-11 21:28:40 UTC  

There are few things more satisfying than Mitch raping the democrats.

2018-10-11 22:20:51 UTC  

Hearing all these nominees get confirmed in the background on C-SPAN is max /comfy/.

2018-10-11 22:41:53 UTC  

Polls back up.

2018-10-11 23:13:21 UTC  

Good news. Hopefully a lot of long shot races tighten as candidates stop saving and start spending.

2018-10-12 04:23:19 UTC  

Finished Tennessee Poll.

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444207280855187466/500161523055067136/unknown.png

2018-10-12 04:23:54 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444207280855187466/500161668769251338/tenor-8.gif

2018-10-12 04:24:02 UTC  

Finished Texas poll.

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444207280855187466/500161701279170560/unknown.png

2018-10-12 04:24:33 UTC  

inb4 *omggggg junk poll*

2018-10-12 04:25:18 UTC  

The NYT is famous for its neo-nazi bias

2018-10-12 04:26:34 UTC  

I believe Nate Cohn is a Nazi himself.

2018-10-12 04:27:00 UTC  

*anyone who believes these polls is a fascist!*

2018-10-12 06:14:58 UTC  

Good news @FLanon @[Lex] @Pielover19 @Nuke @reagent

If you added all 12 undecideds who prefer Republicans to retain control of the Senate to Cruz’s percentage, you get 51% + (12/42 * 5%) = 52.43%. Add the 8 who approve of Trump, and you get 51% + (20/42 * 5%) = 53.38%.

If you added all 6 undecideds who prefer the Democrats take control of the Senate to O’Rourke’s percentage, you get 43% + (6/42 * 5%) = 43.71%

2018-10-12 06:15:01 UTC  

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2018-10-12 21:10:06 UTC