Message from @Pielover19
Discord ID: 450785453516259328
That's pretty disastrous
Skipped solid and likely <:pinkwojak:422439817528344577>
Safe and solid are the same.
no
I disagree
In my ratings system they are.
oh
@Pielover19 VA-02 is too red
I've seen polls indicting that the R would win by a 2-3 point margin
I was going to say
and the Democrat Governor won the district
This map seems way to generous too Republicans
Give me those polls.
Zak, tell me which districts seem too generous to R's.
@Pielover19 okay, 6 points, but whatever. it's still close
I don't think the Democrats have any chance of winning currently.
why did Northam win Virginia Beach then?
Taylor is different than Gillespie.
And he is very popular.
Well, he certainly isn't polling that big of a margin
for someone that popular
@Pielover19 The Democrat is polling ahead of my incumbent representative and my district is only R+3 and went for CLinton
furthermore is went for Kamala harris which is a total progressive hard core
I think lean republican is arguably generous
Using one poll with a probably abysmal sample size isn't a good rule of thumb to go by.
If the trend continues with future polls of this district, I will change the rating.
The only way you can consider it lean is because she won in 2016 even through Trump lost
fair enough
Or if something like a retirement happens.
wait
Most organizations have Mimi's district at Lean Republican.
why is MN-08 and MN-01 leaning R?
I will change it accordingly during the primary results.
We don't know enough about these races
They were tossups before the retirements.
And after they retired, without incumbency advantage, I believe they turn to lean Republican.
why are so many pennslvania districts safe red
Even if a 15-point shift occurs, then we'll still win those, even if by close margins.
but I thought the average has been 17