I don't think the Democrats have any chance of winning currently.

why did Northam win Virginia Beach then?

Taylor is different than Gillespie.

And he is very popular.

Taylor, that is. He won by a huge margin in 2016.

Well, he certainly isn't polling that big of a margin

for someone that popular

@Pielover19 The Democrat is polling ahead of my incumbent representative and my district is only R+3 and went for CLinton

furthermore is went for Kamala harris which is a total progressive hard core

I think lean republican is arguably generous

Using one poll with a probably abysmal sample size isn't a good rule of thumb to go by.

If the trend continues with future polls of this district, I will change the rating.

The only way you can consider it lean is because she won in 2016 even through Trump lost

fair enough

Or if something like a retirement happens.

wait

Most organizations have Mimi's district at Lean Republican.

why is MN-08 and MN-01 leaning R?

I will change it accordingly during the primary results.

We don't know enough about these races

They were tossups before the retirements.

And after they retired, without incumbency advantage, I believe they turn to lean Republican.

why are so many pennslvania districts safe red

Even if a 15-point shift occurs, then we'll still win those, even if by close margins.

but I thought the average has been 17

PA-10 is borderline on Likely.

17-20 has been the average I've seen from the news

in open seats

I don't think that's right.

And you have to factor in the fact that Alabama and some other districts are outliers and should be excluded.

@zakattack04

I wish we could carry NH ugh

@Pielover19 Daily reminder:

Which districts could not be Safe Red in PA?

We were so damn close]

Both of your Senators are Democrats @Pielover19

what

BTFO

No he has a Republican senator

Shelby was a former Democrat.

How will Pie ever recover