Message from @zakattack04
Discord ID: 450784617205858314
New Map:
@Pielover19 KY-06 safe democrat right
RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES:
VA-05 Safe Republican - Lean Republican
New Map:
From Safe to Lean
That's pretty disastrous
Skipped solid and likely <:pinkwojak:422439817528344577>
Safe and solid are the same.
no
I disagree
In my ratings system they are.
oh
@Pielover19 VA-02 is too red
I've seen polls indicting that the R would win by a 2-3 point margin
I was going to say
and the Democrat Governor won the district
Give me those polls.
Zak, tell me which districts seem too generous to R's.
@Pielover19 okay, 6 points, but whatever. it's still close
I don't think the Democrats have any chance of winning currently.
why did Northam win Virginia Beach then?
Taylor is different than Gillespie.
And he is very popular.
Taylor, that is. He won by a huge margin in 2016.
Well, he certainly isn't polling that big of a margin
for someone that popular
@Pielover19 The Democrat is polling ahead of my incumbent representative and my district is only R+3 and went for CLinton
furthermore is went for Kamala harris which is a total progressive hard core
I think lean republican is arguably generous
Using one poll with a probably abysmal sample size isn't a good rule of thumb to go by.
If the trend continues with future polls of this district, I will change the rating.
The only way you can consider it lean is because she won in 2016 even through Trump lost
fair enough
Or if something like a retirement happens.
wait
Most organizations have Mimi's district at Lean Republican.