Message from @zakattack04
Discord ID: 450786300354625547
Taylor is different than Gillespie.
And he is very popular.
Taylor, that is. He won by a huge margin in 2016.
Well, he certainly isn't polling that big of a margin
for someone that popular
@Pielover19 The Democrat is polling ahead of my incumbent representative and my district is only R+3 and went for CLinton
furthermore is went for Kamala harris which is a total progressive hard core
I think lean republican is arguably generous
Using one poll with a probably abysmal sample size isn't a good rule of thumb to go by.
If the trend continues with future polls of this district, I will change the rating.
The only way you can consider it lean is because she won in 2016 even through Trump lost
fair enough
Or if something like a retirement happens.
wait
Most organizations have Mimi's district at Lean Republican.
why is MN-08 and MN-01 leaning R?
I will change it accordingly during the primary results.
We don't know enough about these races
They were tossups before the retirements.
And after they retired, without incumbency advantage, I believe they turn to lean Republican.
Even if a 15-point shift occurs, then we'll still win those, even if by close margins.
but I thought the average has been 17
PA-10 is borderline on Likely.
17-20 has been the average I've seen from the news
in open seats
I don't think that's right.
And you have to factor in the fact that Alabama and some other districts are outliers and should be excluded.
I wish we could carry NH ugh
@Pielover19 Daily reminder:
Which districts could not be Safe Red in PA?
We were so damn close]
Both of your Senators are Democrats @Pielover19
what
BTFO
No he has a Republican senator
Shelby was a former Democrat.
How will Pie ever recover
Button
Both of our senators are democrats