2014 midterms

this means we can be anywhere from D+3 to D+0 in the generic ballot if we expect to win the popular vote

this also shows that polling won't matter until October

The beginning on the graph all the way to the left looks similar to what we've seen recently, doesn't it?

exactly

October is what counts

What are her odds? https://www.google.com/amp/www.breitbart.com/big-hollywood/2018/02/26/republican-actress-stacey-dash-running-congress-california/amp/

HRC won this district by a 71 point margin

forget it

her district is within Compton,

the blackest area in California

Black voters are the bedrock of Democrat loyalty

especially Californian Blacks

I can't imagine it having very high turnout. Maybe since she is such an usual candidate she can swing enough people. There has to be a reason she is trying. She has been in politics long enough to know the media is going to try to destroy her badly. Black, Woman and Republican.

I can't imagine the blood lust it's going to trigger with the Jews

she's running because Romney is running

Does she have a thing for him or something?

I know she endorsed him

https://twitter.com/byrdinator/status/968171169986830337?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fdisqus.com%2Fembed%2Fcomments%2F%3Fbase%3Ddefault%26f%3Dpredictit%26t_i%3D3766%26t_u%3Dhttps%253A%252F%252Fwww.predictit.org%252FMarket%252F3766%252FWhich-party-will-win-the-House-of-Representatives-special-election-in-Pennsylvania%2526%252339%253Bs-18th-district%26t_e%3DPredictIt%2520%257C%2520Which%2520party%2520will%2520win%2520the%2520House%2520of%2520Representatives%2520special%2520election%2520in%2520Pennsylvania%2526%252339%253Bs%252018th%2520district%253F%26t_d%3D2018%2520Midterm%2520Predictions%2520%257C%25202018%2520House%2520Predictions%2520for%2520Pennsylvania%26t_t%3DPredictIt%2520%257C%2520Which%2520party%2520will%2520win%2520the%2520House%2520of%2520Representatives%2520special%2520election%2520in%2520Pennsylvania%2526%252339%253Bs%252018th%2520district%253F%26s_o%3Ddesc%23version%3D8f43bbfb9b3412e3c4830f9fabb4ff3f

hmm

Karen's mother, I bet

who the fuck is Karen

Karen is the idea of a generic white soccermom from North Virginia

right

"These people want to turn our country into a brown third world shithole, but Trump says mean things on Twitter so I'll vote Democrat."

unfortunately, that's how a lot of White women in America think

Country club Republicans.

they vote Republican because they want the federal government to stay out of their lives so they can raise their children the way they want without interference

small-government voters

I guess so.

But we can't have a small government if the uniparty is in power.

@FLanon Why North Virginia? I know that the DC Suburbs are a Democrat stronghold, but I had no idea it was significant enough for a slang term like Karen

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Twitter isn't a deciding factor for whe white women who voted against Trump

North Virginia is one example, and Karen is the most soccer mom name I could think of,

they also exist in the Chicago suburbs, Houston/Dallas suburbs, Philadelphia suburbs, etc.

and obviously there's more than just the tweets

it's his character in general

many white college-graduate women see Trump's rhetoric and characteristics as degrading to the presidency

Karen doesn't see Trump as the kind of president who she can have her children look up to as a role model in society

@Deleted User also,

the "Soccer Mom Vote" phenomenon has existed for more than a decade now