Message from @Den

Discord ID: 417820266261905408


2018-02-26 17:39:25 UTC  

It would be interesting to see how that is D+5 is spread out. If half of that is in California we will be good.

2018-02-26 18:57:25 UTC  

@Den One thing that can happen is higher leftist turnout but mostly confined to areas that are already blue, which can lead to them still losing seats in the House, though the Senate is different

2018-02-26 22:22:14 UTC  

2014 midterms

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/417808607657328650/1519668967128.png

2018-02-26 22:23:33 UTC  

this means we can be anywhere from D+3 to D+0 in the generic ballot if we expect to win the popular vote

2018-02-26 22:23:55 UTC  

this also shows that polling won't matter until October

2018-02-26 22:37:29 UTC  

The beginning on the graph all the way to the left looks similar to what we've seen recently, doesn't it?

2018-02-26 22:42:11 UTC  

exactly

2018-02-26 22:42:17 UTC  

October is what counts

2018-02-26 23:04:05 UTC  

HRC won this district by a 71 point margin

2018-02-26 23:04:08 UTC  

forget it

2018-02-26 23:05:19 UTC  

her district is within Compton,

2018-02-26 23:05:30 UTC  

the blackest area in California

2018-02-26 23:05:45 UTC  

Black voters are the bedrock of Democrat loyalty

2018-02-26 23:05:54 UTC  

especially Californian Blacks

2018-02-26 23:07:25 UTC  

I can't imagine it having very high turnout. Maybe since she is such an usual candidate she can swing enough people. There has to be a reason she is trying. She has been in politics long enough to know the media is going to try to destroy her badly. Black, Woman and Republican.

2018-02-26 23:07:40 UTC  

I can't imagine the blood lust it's going to trigger with the Jews

2018-02-26 23:07:50 UTC  

she's running because Romney is running

2018-02-26 23:08:27 UTC  

Does she have a thing for him or something?

2018-02-26 23:08:34 UTC  

I know she endorsed him

2018-02-26 23:15:20 UTC  

hmm

2018-02-26 23:16:32 UTC  

Karen's mother, I bet

2018-02-26 23:33:50 UTC  

who the fuck is Karen

2018-02-26 23:39:28 UTC  

Karen is the idea of a generic white soccermom from North Virginia

2018-02-26 23:43:36 UTC  

right

2018-02-26 23:43:54 UTC  

"These people want to turn our country into a brown third world shithole, but Trump says mean things on Twitter so I'll vote Democrat."

2018-02-26 23:44:10 UTC  

unfortunately, that's how a lot of White women in America think

2018-02-26 23:44:34 UTC  

Country club Republicans.

2018-02-26 23:46:17 UTC  

they vote Republican because they want the federal government to stay out of their lives so they can raise their children the way they want without interference

2018-02-26 23:46:42 UTC  

small-government voters

2018-02-26 23:50:37 UTC  

I guess so.

2018-02-26 23:51:55 UTC  

But we can't have a small government if the uniparty is in power.

2018-02-27 00:46:35 UTC  

@FLanon Why North Virginia? I know that the DC Suburbs are a Democrat stronghold, but I had no idea it was significant enough for a slang term like Karen

2018-02-27 00:47:08 UTC  

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Twitter isn't a deciding factor for whe white women who voted against Trump

2018-02-27 00:47:20 UTC  

North Virginia is one example, and Karen is the most soccer mom name I could think of,

2018-02-27 00:47:55 UTC  

they also exist in the Chicago suburbs, Houston/Dallas suburbs, Philadelphia suburbs, etc.

2018-02-27 00:48:14 UTC  

and obviously there's more than just the tweets

2018-02-27 00:48:24 UTC  

it's his character in general

2018-02-27 00:49:01 UTC  

many white college-graduate women see Trump's rhetoric and characteristics as degrading to the presidency