thing is that the amount of Rs running atm is the same as the amount of dems

hopefully they'll consolidate behind one candidate while the Dems continue the infighting

yeah, Erin Cruz and someone else

the same problem could cost them some house seats too,

The Democratic field in 2018 is going to be perhaps the largest in the party’s history. But that’s actually a problem. One can easily envision an ugly two-, three- or four-way free-for-all between Ds and end up putting two Rs on the ballot. The Hillary and Bernie wings never quite reconciled in 2016—to Trump’s benefit. This time the divide looks like it could be even worse.

@everyone Does anyone here think 2018 will have much higher turnout than any other midterm year ?

Maybe.

To me it's a toss up.

We just need to start going hard against Commie-crats.

Paul Ryan's Super PAC has the congressional ballot lead D+5, significantly lower than what the public polling has it.

It would be interesting to see how that is D+5 is spread out. If half of that is in California we will be good.

@Den One thing that can happen is higher leftist turnout but mostly confined to areas that are already blue, which can lead to them still losing seats in the House, though the Senate is different

https://www.pscp.tv/RealJoviVal/follow

2014 midterms

this means we can be anywhere from D+3 to D+0 in the generic ballot if we expect to win the popular vote

this also shows that polling won't matter until October

The beginning on the graph all the way to the left looks similar to what we've seen recently, doesn't it?

exactly

October is what counts

What are her odds? https://www.google.com/amp/www.breitbart.com/big-hollywood/2018/02/26/republican-actress-stacey-dash-running-congress-california/amp/

HRC won this district by a 71 point margin

forget it

her district is within Compton,

the blackest area in California

Black voters are the bedrock of Democrat loyalty

especially Californian Blacks

I can't imagine it having very high turnout. Maybe since she is such an usual candidate she can swing enough people. There has to be a reason she is trying. She has been in politics long enough to know the media is going to try to destroy her badly. Black, Woman and Republican.

I can't imagine the blood lust it's going to trigger with the Jews

she's running because Romney is running

Does she have a thing for him or something?

I know she endorsed him

https://twitter.com/byrdinator/status/968171169986830337?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fdisqus.com%2Fembed%2Fcomments%2F%3Fbase%3Ddefault%26f%3Dpredictit%26t_i%3D3766%26t_u%3Dhttps%253A%252F%252Fwww.predictit.org%252FMarket%252F3766%252FWhich-party-will-win-the-House-of-Representatives-special-election-in-Pennsylvania%2526%252339%253Bs-18th-district%26t_e%3DPredictIt%2520%257C%2520Which%2520party%2520will%2520win%2520the%2520House%2520of%2520Representatives%2520special%2520election%2520in%2520Pennsylvania%2526%252339%253Bs%252018th%2520district%253F%26t_d%3D2018%2520Midterm%2520Predictions%2520%257C%25202018%2520House%2520Predictions%2520for%2520Pennsylvania%26t_t%3DPredictIt%2520%257C%2520Which%2520party%2520will%2520win%2520the%2520House%2520of%2520Representatives%2520special%2520election%2520in%2520Pennsylvania%2526%252339%253Bs%252018th%2520district%253F%26s_o%3Ddesc%23version%3D8f43bbfb9b3412e3c4830f9fabb4ff3f

hmm

Karen's mother, I bet

who the fuck is Karen

Karen is the idea of a generic white soccermom from North Virginia

right

"These people want to turn our country into a brown third world shithole, but Trump says mean things on Twitter so I'll vote Democrat."

unfortunately, that's how a lot of White women in America think

Country club Republicans.

they vote Republican because they want the federal government to stay out of their lives so they can raise their children the way they want without interference