Message from @Den
Discord ID: 419238582277111828
If Strangw would have gotten that nominee the Dems would have lost and lost a ton of momentum.
@Den it hasn't even been redistrict'd yet though
But people aren't voting if they don't even know what district they will be in a few months.
@Den I wouldn't blame Bannon
I'd blame McConnell and the GOPe
hashtagdontblamethevictim
Any GOP Senator from Alabama would have supported Trump 95% of the time. Moore was way too divisive. He barely won his SCOTUS seat which is pathetic in Alabama
Strange would have been fine
I'm still wondering why people think Bannon is responsible for Moore winning in the primaries
Well he backed him. Also a lot of people say that Brannon was leaking stuff about Moore to the media after he won the Primary
But who knows if it's true
People had this perception that Bannon was trying to make Trump's electoral agenda better outside the white house, and that Moore was part of that. After Moore lost and Trump publicly bashed Bannon, it became apparent that wasn't the case.
I think Moore would still have won the primaries without Bannon's endorsement
Yeah I think Bannon really spread the false message that the GOP was trying to undermine Trump. It was untue but if it wasn't for traitors who sunk Obamacare repel like McCain the idea would not have found traction. Plenty of blame to go around
It wasn't just Bannon.
isn't the GOP trying to undermine him though?
yeah, GOP senators and congressmen seem to vote with him frequently enough
but during the 2016 election they pulled all sorts of BS to try to sabotage Trump
Yeah but now that he gave them the Rust Belt it's not advantageous to them. They thought he would lose. Look at the scotes
here's the thing I noticed,
in the last 4 midterm elections,
(all of them)
the party that was leading in the generic ballot never won by the projected margin
for instance,
in 2014,
Republicans outperformed the generic ballot by 3.3 points,
before that, Republicans underperformed by 2.6 points,
before that, Democrats won but underperformed by 3.6 points,
before that, Democrats over-performed by 2.9 points
this means that in reality,
Democrats could be leading by 9-10 points in the generic ballot and still not take the house,
because they need to win 7-8 points in the popular vote to flip the house,
so when adjusted with that 2.9-3.6 margin of error, being as high as 10 could not mean much, but being higher than 10 could be troubling
It's really not just keeping the house, which is important nonetheless, but winning it with at least 230 seats
We don't want it to be too close
so, to get it straight
2014: Republicans overperofrming by 3.3
2010: Republicans underperforming by 2.6
2006: Democrats underperforming by 3.6
2002: Democrats overpeforming by 2.9
?
correct