Message from @FLanon
Discord ID: 419234314673324032
Fucking Unclean!!!!!
lel
Did he give any reasons for why Rick might lose?
The suppressed turnout from the redistricting combined with the fact that it's low turnout overall and there is a small percentage of Dems that are highly motivated. That is all it takes in these special elections. If Lamb wins though he WILL lose in November
Lamb isnt a bad guy tho compared to other Dems
this is true,
the way PA is redrawn, Lamb would lose in Nov
_if_ he wins this month
The problem is that I think it will help motivate Dems like Alabama did. Fucking Brannon really did a ton of damage with the loss of that seat.
If Strangw would have gotten that nominee the Dems would have lost and lost a ton of momentum.
@Den it hasn't even been redistrict'd yet though
But people aren't voting if they don't even know what district they will be in a few months.
@Den I wouldn't blame Bannon
I'd blame McConnell and the GOPe
hashtagdontblamethevictim
Any GOP Senator from Alabama would have supported Trump 95% of the time. Moore was way too divisive. He barely won his SCOTUS seat which is pathetic in Alabama
Strange would have been fine
I'm still wondering why people think Bannon is responsible for Moore winning in the primaries
Well he backed him. Also a lot of people say that Brannon was leaking stuff about Moore to the media after he won the Primary
But who knows if it's true
People had this perception that Bannon was trying to make Trump's electoral agenda better outside the white house, and that Moore was part of that. After Moore lost and Trump publicly bashed Bannon, it became apparent that wasn't the case.
I think Moore would still have won the primaries without Bannon's endorsement
Yeah I think Bannon really spread the false message that the GOP was trying to undermine Trump. It was untue but if it wasn't for traitors who sunk Obamacare repel like McCain the idea would not have found traction. Plenty of blame to go around
It wasn't just Bannon.
isn't the GOP trying to undermine him though?
yeah, GOP senators and congressmen seem to vote with him frequently enough
but during the 2016 election they pulled all sorts of BS to try to sabotage Trump
Yeah but now that he gave them the Rust Belt it's not advantageous to them. They thought he would lose. Look at the scotes
The problem is they have too few numbers in the Senate
here's the thing I noticed,
in the last 4 midterm elections,
(all of them)
the party that was leading in the generic ballot never won by the projected margin
for instance,
in 2014,
Republicans outperformed the generic ballot by 3.3 points,
before that, Republicans underperformed by 2.6 points,
before that, Democrats won but underperformed by 3.6 points,
before that, Democrats over-performed by 2.9 points
this means that in reality,