well, no shit they'll lose

Knowing him he probably considers Conor Lamb to be a Republican

https://www.reddit.com/r/BlueMidterm2018/comments/8cnp3v/new_emerson_poll_hiral_tipirneni_and_debbie_lesko/

the fags in /r/BlueMidterm2018 are saying that Emerson is 'unreliable'

what do you think @🎃Boo-ton🎃

you know what?

let's have fun

Let's have a bet for the entire Discord

whichever side wins the bet will the $ split evenly

No bets yet

I'll wait for more polls

This could be a outlier for all we know

kk

do you know when more polls will come in, and from whom

yes

I am the head data miner

How reliable is Emmerson?

They said Moore was up by 11 right before the election.

So when is the AZ election happening?

And are we doing a VC like last time?
That PA chat was the stuff of legend <:drewmiller:423319800215764993>

In a week

N O I C E

REPORT: Mueller Prepares To End Russia Probe Without Interviewing President Trump

So this Russian Collusion bullshit is over?

soon it seems

horey shet

@R E P T I L E AZ-08 is happening next Tuesday, April 24

Thanks

@Pielover19 apparently there were times Emerson wayyyy overestimated for the Republicans (like Moore) and other times where they overestimated for the Democrats

tread with caution regardless

be weary of an incoming trend

You reading from a fortune cookie?

Democrats at a +6 lead in the generic ballot

if the election were held today, they would not be able to retake Congress

Yeah, with Dems at only +6 I think the Arizona seat is gonna go in our direction.

That poll is a serious outliner, and it would actually be MORE accurate to use landlines in this specific district, which they probably didn't do.

Is enthusiasm accounted for when we talk generic ballot btw because these have been just ungodly results we have been getting for the last few months.

I believe so

most of these polls take into account whether voters intend to vote or not

and how likely they are to (certain to vote, likely to vote, etc)

and Nate Silver's algorithm adjusts for this

https://www.mintpressnews.com/how-the-us-occupied-the-30-of-syria-containing-most-of-its-oil-water-and-gas/240601/