Message from @R E P T I L E
Discord ID: 435536590337736724
By "we" he probably means Nation of Islam members in Congress.
well, no shit they'll lose
Knowing him he probably considers Conor Lamb to be a Republican
https://www.reddit.com/r/BlueMidterm2018/comments/8cnp3v/new_emerson_poll_hiral_tipirneni_and_debbie_lesko/
the fags in /r/BlueMidterm2018 are saying that Emerson is 'unreliable'
what do you think @🎃Boo-ton🎃
you know what?
let's have fun
Let's have a bet for the entire Discord
whichever side wins the bet will the $ split evenly
No bets yet
I'll wait for more polls
This could be a outlier for all we know
kk
do you know when more polls will come in, and from whom
yes
I am the head data miner
How reliable is Emmerson?
They said Moore was up by 11 right before the election.
So when is the AZ election happening?
And are we doing a VC like last time?
That PA chat was the stuff of legend <:drewmiller:423319800215764993>
In a week
REPORT: Mueller Prepares To End Russia Probe Without Interviewing President Trump
So this Russian Collusion bullshit is over?
soon it seems
horey shet
@R E P T I L E AZ-08 is happening next Tuesday, April 24
Thanks
@Pielover19 apparently there were times Emerson wayyyy overestimated for the Republicans (like Moore) and other times where they overestimated for the Democrats
tread with caution regardless
be weary of an incoming trend
You reading from a fortune cookie?
Democrats at a +6 lead in the generic ballot
if the election were held today, they would not be able to retake Congress
Yeah, with Dems at only +6 I think the Arizona seat is gonna go in our direction.
That poll is a serious outliner, and it would actually be MORE accurate to use landlines in this specific district, which they probably didn't do.
Is enthusiasm accounted for when we talk generic ballot btw because these have been just ungodly results we have been getting for the last few months.
I believe so
most of these polls take into account whether voters intend to vote or not
and how likely they are to (certain to vote, likely to vote, etc)
and Nate Silver's algorithm adjusts for this