Message from @R E P T I L E
Discord ID: 435538856222392330
Let's have a bet for the entire Discord
whichever side wins the bet will the $ split evenly
No bets yet
I'll wait for more polls
This could be a outlier for all we know
kk
do you know when more polls will come in, and from whom
yes
I am the head data miner
How reliable is Emmerson?
They said Moore was up by 11 right before the election.
So when is the AZ election happening?
And are we doing a VC like last time?
That PA chat was the stuff of legend <:drewmiller:423319800215764993>
In a week
N O I C E
REPORT: Mueller Prepares To End Russia Probe Without Interviewing President Trump
So this Russian Collusion bullshit is over?
soon it seems
horey shet
@R E P T I L E AZ-08 is happening next Tuesday, April 24
@Pielover19 apparently there were times Emerson wayyyy overestimated for the Republicans (like Moore) and other times where they overestimated for the Democrats
tread with caution regardless
be weary of an incoming trend
You reading from a fortune cookie?
Democrats at a +6 lead in the generic ballot
if the election were held today, they would not be able to retake Congress
Yeah, with Dems at only +6 I think the Arizona seat is gonna go in our direction.
That poll is a serious outliner, and it would actually be MORE accurate to use landlines in this specific district, which they probably didn't do.
Is enthusiasm accounted for when we talk generic ballot btw because these have been just ungodly results we have been getting for the last few months.
I believe so
most of these polls take into account whether voters intend to vote or not
and how likely they are to (certain to vote, likely to vote, etc)
and Nate Silver's algorithm adjusts for this
Umm
Wait I just read the article, it doesn't seem too significant, the US controls the gas and oil fields whoopty do, big deal. Syria is still allowed to use them
Hi everyone
Hi