Message from @FLanon
Discord ID: 449649060245405706
now, I don't view them as reliable, ergo I'm not "happy" when I see them come out in our favor
I don't rely on them at all, they're all bullshit, the only worthy polls I think are policy polls.
How are they all bullshit?
Historical evidence is much more reliable than polls
you want to hear some historical evidence
@ThatRightWingFish the vast majority of polls said that is was impossible for trump to carry PA WI and MI
let's pretend it's October, 2016
Ok
Why the hell is Trump campaigning in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania? A republican hasn't won there since 1992, the trends show Democrats winning them for decades.
As I said, it's because of the positions Trump ran on which allowed him to win there. The trend argument upholds itself, because the trend was a generic republican can't win those states because of the positions of the party.
It's not the trend of the result, it's the all the context involved
but Republicans don't win there
That's not true
exactly
PA state house is republican
so is MN
Eh
Those are all RINOs
If you actually look their their state reps
They're really not anywhere near the republican you want them to be
Also their state senate is democrat
Lol you're pussy footing with that
That argument would mean we Flake and McCain stand for good right wit policy because they have an (R) next to their name
it's about our opportunity
Who said they were perfect?
No one
What we possibly could win. I'm not saying MN is a red state, but it is absolutely not impossible to win MN or NJ.
My point is, the trend argument is well substantiated because historical evidence is always more reliable than modern polls
2018 is our beg
Bet*
for what
It's staying blue
MN?
Yeah
That depends on some things.
and it's not 2018
it's 2020
It doesn't matter to me see
XP I always know
Never bet on the trend to end