He was also endorsed by Kasisch

Which should help him with the more Moderate voters

Is O' Connor like a Bluedog moderate?

Haven't looked into him

I think he's more of a third way moderate

Interesting

Young Conor Lamb-esque candidates in districts like this are worrisome but I'm confident Balderson will win.

Hopefully not by 1-2%.

+ the rcp average is silly. It only accounts for two polls.

Not the host of other polls which all favour Balderson.

We'll see. We're all weary of should-be easy districts getting snatched after PA-18

Wouldn't be surprised if it's a double digit margin for Balderson

We'll see tomorrow.

https://redstorm2018.wordpress.com/2018/08/07/august-7-2018/

whoa, what

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/08/rhode_island_senate_race_may_be_in_play_as_media_and_political_pros_oblivious.html

https://t.co/pJtWMCFEj7?amp=1

Oh shit

So what primaries are today?

https://ballotpedia.org/Elections_calendar

Kansas, Michigan, Missouri and Washington primaries.

Ohio-12 special election, California state senate special election also

Wow that’s a lot. We have a busy day today

That's right.

Wasn’t there one race out of the bunch that was critical?

The one where you said if Balderson doesn’t win we should kill our selves

OH-12

Let me put it this way: if we do lose this, it'll be far worse than Conor Lamb's victory for numerous reasons.
1. Greater proximity to November
2. Better candidate than Saccone
3. Worse candidate than Lamb
4. Significant Trump involvement in the state before the special election
5. The polling average strongly suggests Balderson will win.

However, if the gap is large enough in favour of Balderson, it'll be a very positive indication for the GOP.

If it's a narrow difference in favour of Balderson then it's an ominous reflection of a growing trend of political despondence in the Rust Belt in response to Trump.

I predict Balderson wins by 3-4%, the middle of the optimistic and pessimistic outcomes.

Either way, if Balderson does indeed lose, it'll be by the breadth of a hair, not unlike Conor Lamb's upset.

This is a very white district.

To be clear.

I see, that is pretty major

I have a decent feeling about it though

IN a part of the country which deeply dislikes both parties but supports unions.

Don’t most of the unions lean or work with the Dems?

That's right.

But it's also socially conservative and deeply anti-immigration.

Is that special election today ?