Message from @FLanon

Discord ID: 476277074114641922


2018-08-07 04:24:33 UTC  

ur boring

2018-08-07 04:31:42 UTC  

Another whitepill with the supreme court and social media censorship is in Packingham v. North Carolina, they defined "Social Media" to be so broad that it included WebMD, the Washington Post, and Amazon.com as social media platforms, so if they rule with Jared Taylor, this will not only affect Twitter, but every other major social media organization.

2018-08-07 04:37:15 UTC  

I'd encourage donating to help with the legal fees of the lawsuit Jared Taylor's doing, I've already given about like 100 dollars: https://www.amren.com/help-fight-internet-censorship/

2018-08-07 04:48:58 UTC  

It's a rather beautiful sense of irony that Alex Jones was taken down by the same free market he endlessly extols.

2018-08-07 05:06:41 UTC  

People are seizing White Land

2018-08-07 06:27:13 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/476275103227838476/Screenshot_2018-08-07-02-26-56.png

2018-08-07 06:27:35 UTC  

<@&462745116768075776> prediction for tomorrow

2018-08-07 06:27:58 UTC  

Balderson margin might be larger than you think

2018-08-07 06:31:14 UTC  

What time should we do vc?

2018-08-07 06:31:18 UTC  

He was also endorsed by Kasisch

2018-08-07 06:31:30 UTC  

Which should help him with the more Moderate voters

2018-08-07 06:31:51 UTC  

Is O' Connor like a Bluedog moderate?

2018-08-07 06:32:03 UTC  

Haven't looked into him

2018-08-07 06:32:08 UTC  

I think he's more of a third way moderate

2018-08-07 06:32:14 UTC  

Interesting

2018-08-07 06:33:02 UTC  

Young Conor Lamb-esque candidates in districts like this are worrisome but I'm confident Balderson will win.

2018-08-07 06:33:10 UTC  

Hopefully not by 1-2%.

2018-08-07 06:34:06 UTC  

+ the rcp average is silly. It only accounts for two polls.

2018-08-07 06:34:16 UTC  

Not the host of other polls which all favour Balderson.

2018-08-07 06:35:03 UTC  

We'll see. We're all weary of should-be easy districts getting snatched after PA-18

2018-08-07 06:36:16 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/476277381787680768/Screenshot_2018-08-07-02-35-50.png

2018-08-07 06:36:59 UTC  

Wouldn't be surprised if it's a double digit margin for Balderson

2018-08-07 06:39:06 UTC  

We'll see tomorrow.

2018-08-07 11:47:59 UTC  

Oh shit

2018-08-07 11:55:59 UTC  

So what primaries are today?

2018-08-07 11:56:43 UTC  

Kansas, Michigan, Missouri and Washington primaries.

2018-08-07 11:57:17 UTC  

Ohio-12 special election, California state senate special election also

2018-08-07 11:57:30 UTC  

Wow that’s a lot. We have a busy day today

2018-08-07 11:57:43 UTC  

That's right.

2018-08-07 11:58:00 UTC  

Wasn’t there one race out of the bunch that was critical?

2018-08-07 11:58:20 UTC  

The one where you said if Balderson doesn’t win we should kill our selves

2018-08-07 11:59:52 UTC  

OH-12

2018-08-07 12:01:33 UTC  

Let me put it this way: if we do lose this, it'll be far worse than Conor Lamb's victory for numerous reasons.
1. Greater proximity to November
2. Better candidate than Saccone
3. Worse candidate than Lamb
4. Significant Trump involvement in the state before the special election
5. The polling average strongly suggests Balderson will win.

2018-08-07 12:02:12 UTC  

However, if the gap is large enough in favour of Balderson, it'll be a very positive indication for the GOP.

2018-08-07 12:02:49 UTC  

If it's a narrow difference in favour of Balderson then it's an ominous reflection of a growing trend of political despondence in the Rust Belt in response to Trump.

2018-08-07 12:03:47 UTC  

I predict Balderson wins by 3-4%, the middle of the optimistic and pessimistic outcomes.