Message from @thr33
Discord ID: 496352447242174474
So it will hurt him quite a bit to be a no vote
yea
Hopefully that depresses independent support for him and FL dems in general, including Gillum
btw
10/26, q3 gdp comes out
if that's 3.0 or higher, will be a huge boost
If you have less people voting for Nelson, you have some less people voting for Gillum, hopefully that translates
yea
Any projections on GDP yet?
http://projects.wsj.com/econforecast/#ind=gdp&r=20 the average projection is 3.22
I think the USMCA could help us quite a bit with that for the time remaining
Maybe bump it to like 3.5
yea
especially since the hurricane didn't fuck up shipments as much as it could
and since the european trade stuff has been over for a while
Another big problem with the NJ polls is that minority’s are horrendously underrepresented in the sample.
Menendez is probably up mid-single digits
Were they underrepresented?
Something that people frequently get wrong in regards to polling is they assume that the population = the electorate, so since the electorate is whiter than the population, they often assume that minorities are underrepresented when it often accurately reflects the electorate
I didn't see the demographic division in the poll, so I can't really be the judge, that's something to keep in mind though.
keep in mind that's all adults, not RV, let alone LV
Wow, the last poll I checked with Trump and all adults was something like the late 30s
lol
there are actually significant changes (1) point of origin requirements raised from 62.5 to 75% (2) after a phase in period 60% of components need to be in $16+/hr factories (3) US installed a quota on canadian autos (4) US has access for the first time in decades to canadian milk and dairy markets (5) steel and iron tariffs still in place (6) labor standards raised substantially across the board, preventing outsourcing to mexico
Chinese warship in 'unsafe' encounter with US destroyerhttps://www.cnn.com/2018/10/01/politics/china-us-warship-unsafe-encounter/index.html
i don't trust the chinese
No one does
i had some good chinese food last week tbh. sesame chicken
The Chinese are the scum of the earth
They will be America's major adversary in the post-Soviet era.
china is going to be a tough pickle
they've been around for thousands of years, only the mongols and the japanese have stopped them, and both only for a short time
they're making inroads to africa now
They're stockpiling our debt, our currency, our real estate
mitt was a cuck, but at least he wanted to go after them some. obama did nothing and now we're going to pay for it
The good news is that they've bent to our will on steel and textiles, which shows us to be the victors of trade war. Unfortunately, Nov 1 may be too short of a time before the midterms to truly feel the effects of it completely.
It is a good optics victory though, and hopefully Trump can lower some of our tariffs on our side to equalize with the Chinese and give himself some much needed last minute approval boost