Message from @Westoman
Discord ID: 496355603082379270
I think the USMCA could help us quite a bit with that for the time remaining
Maybe bump it to like 3.5
yea
especially since the hurricane didn't fuck up shipments as much as it could
and since the european trade stuff has been over for a while
Another big problem with the NJ polls is that minority’s are horrendously underrepresented in the sample.
Menendez is probably up mid-single digits
Were they underrepresented?
Something that people frequently get wrong in regards to polling is they assume that the population = the electorate, so since the electorate is whiter than the population, they often assume that minorities are underrepresented when it often accurately reflects the electorate
I didn't see the demographic division in the poll, so I can't really be the judge, that's something to keep in mind though.
keep in mind that's all adults, not RV, let alone LV
Wow, the last poll I checked with Trump and all adults was something like the late 30s
lol
there are actually significant changes (1) point of origin requirements raised from 62.5 to 75% (2) after a phase in period 60% of components need to be in $16+/hr factories (3) US installed a quota on canadian autos (4) US has access for the first time in decades to canadian milk and dairy markets (5) steel and iron tariffs still in place (6) labor standards raised substantially across the board, preventing outsourcing to mexico
Chinese warship in 'unsafe' encounter with US destroyerhttps://www.cnn.com/2018/10/01/politics/china-us-warship-unsafe-encounter/index.html
i don't trust the chinese
i had some good chinese food last week tbh. sesame chicken
The Chinese are the scum of the earth
They will be America's major adversary in the post-Soviet era.
china is going to be a tough pickle
they've been around for thousands of years, only the mongols and the japanese have stopped them, and both only for a short time
they're making inroads to africa now
They're stockpiling our debt, our currency, our real estate
mitt was a cuck, but at least he wanted to go after them some. obama did nothing and now we're going to pay for it
The good news is that they've bent to our will on steel and textiles, which shows us to be the victors of trade war. Unfortunately, Nov 1 may be too short of a time before the midterms to truly feel the effects of it completely.
It is a good optics victory though, and hopefully Trump can lower some of our tariffs on our side to equalize with the Chinese and give himself some much needed last minute approval boost
yea
we need this kav win
Definitely
Assuming the Republicans aren't stupid enough to bend to the dems' wills and delay Kav until after the midterms, having it be a party line vote with the exception of Manchin will be very good for our Senate prospects
i hope heitkamp votes no. because that's the one senate race that we seem very likely to flip. the rest are all a bunch of 50-50 races
i wonder how those 50/50 races will split. will both parties win some, or will one win most?
i would put NV/AZ/IN/FL/MO all in the same bucket
(i don't think TX is competitive and i think TN is going to be at least a 5 point win)
If the dems in the swing states/red states vote no, they could have a universal swing to us
yep