Message from @Yellowhammer

Discord ID: 496478506201513991


2018-10-02 00:17:09 UTC  

Keep in mind this is purely the ND electorate, which is very conservative

2018-10-02 00:17:12 UTC  

maybe not Taxes

2018-10-02 00:17:19 UTC  

Oh okay

2018-10-02 00:17:35 UTC  

still though

2018-10-02 00:17:37 UTC  

Having Kavanaugh be the main concern is one which would likely be shared among most other states imo

2018-10-02 00:17:39 UTC  

Cramer is a good candidate

2018-10-02 00:17:43 UTC  

Texas is becoming Virginia 2.0

2018-10-02 00:17:47 UTC  

I think people really underestimate how conservative ND is

2018-10-02 00:17:56 UTC  

and the ND state party is more competent than the MO and IN state party

2018-10-02 00:18:23 UTC  

if Cramer flips ND, Dems need either TN or TX to have any shot at flipping the Senate

2018-10-02 00:18:24 UTC  

I think Liberals in general underestimate how conservative most parts of the country are in general

2018-10-02 00:19:15 UTC  

I suspect other states are taking the Kavanaugh issue as seriously as ND, they may not be as enthused about him, but it'll certainly hurt red/purple state dem senators very badly if they vote no.

2018-10-02 00:19:51 UTC  

I feel Tester's chances would swing the wildest after a no vote, which is almost certain at this point.

2018-10-02 00:21:49 UTC  

Montana is weird

2018-10-02 00:22:02 UTC  

he never has ran as a moderate apart from guns

2018-10-02 00:26:07 UTC  

Montana has a contingency of voters who for some reason stubbornly vote democratic at the state level. Idk how they have fallen for Bullock and Tester.
Tester is as liberal as most other dem senators, and yet gets crazy crossover votes from right-leaning voters

2018-10-02 00:27:04 UTC  

40% that none of the dem senators vote yes

2018-10-02 00:27:32 UTC  

I hope that's true. That, assuming we get complete party line vote after the FBI investigation wraps up, will be splendid for us.

2018-10-02 00:28:16 UTC  

I think Manchin will vote yes

2018-10-02 00:28:20 UTC  

And that’s it

2018-10-02 00:28:26 UTC  

I think so as well.

2018-10-02 00:28:31 UTC  

Though Donnelly has showed signs of back tracking

2018-10-02 00:28:42 UTC  

I haven't seen signals from any of the other dem senators that they would

2018-10-02 00:28:59 UTC  

Donnelly's yes chance tanked on predictit recently

2018-10-02 00:29:06 UTC  

They're giving him like an 85% no

2018-10-02 00:29:08 UTC  

@FLanon what have you invested on in predictit right now ?

2018-10-02 00:29:21 UTC  

dropped any $ on the FL Gubernatorial race yet?

2018-10-02 00:29:23 UTC  

Sky Queen is voting how her handlers tell her to and will go down with ship like a good partisan

2018-10-02 00:29:26 UTC  

Well, into DeSantis just because it's a good motivator

2018-10-02 00:30:03 UTC  

I'm thinking on putting some on Tester not getting re-elected, not much, but idk

2018-10-02 00:30:53 UTC  

I wouldn’t. Do it for Blackburn, Cramer, and Hawley

2018-10-02 00:31:05 UTC  

They will all win I think

2018-10-02 00:31:24 UTC  

The American public seems to be keeping a close eye on the SC confirmation process, and this is the prime occasion for opinions to harden

2018-10-02 00:31:59 UTC  

Blackburn is the most questionable. I expected Bredesen’s numbers to start tanking by now but they aren’t budging
TN has me worried
Heck he was leading by 5 in a poll today

2018-10-02 00:32:28 UTC  

Looks like McCaskill is still up according to the betting market

2018-10-02 00:32:41 UTC  

That might be the best investment for me to go with

2018-10-02 01:17:37 UTC  

Hey guys

2018-10-02 02:02:57 UTC  

@FLanon what’s a white pill

2018-10-02 02:04:23 UTC  

a whitepill is something which gives some optimism

2018-10-02 02:04:23 UTC  

The opposite of a blackpill