Message from @Yellowhammer
Discord ID: 496478506201513991
Keep in mind this is purely the ND electorate, which is very conservative
maybe not Taxes
Oh okay
still though
Having Kavanaugh be the main concern is one which would likely be shared among most other states imo
Cramer is a good candidate
Texas is becoming Virginia 2.0
I think people really underestimate how conservative ND is
and the ND state party is more competent than the MO and IN state party
if Cramer flips ND, Dems need either TN or TX to have any shot at flipping the Senate
I think Liberals in general underestimate how conservative most parts of the country are in general
I suspect other states are taking the Kavanaugh issue as seriously as ND, they may not be as enthused about him, but it'll certainly hurt red/purple state dem senators very badly if they vote no.
I feel Tester's chances would swing the wildest after a no vote, which is almost certain at this point.
Montana is weird
he never has ran as a moderate apart from guns
Montana has a contingency of voters who for some reason stubbornly vote democratic at the state level. Idk how they have fallen for Bullock and Tester.
Tester is as liberal as most other dem senators, and yet gets crazy crossover votes from right-leaning voters
40% that none of the dem senators vote yes
I hope that's true. That, assuming we get complete party line vote after the FBI investigation wraps up, will be splendid for us.
I think Manchin will vote yes
I think so as well.
Though Donnelly has showed signs of back tracking
I haven't seen signals from any of the other dem senators that they would
Donnelly's yes chance tanked on predictit recently
They're giving him like an 85% no
@FLanon what have you invested on in predictit right now ?
dropped any $ on the FL Gubernatorial race yet?
Sky Queen is voting how her handlers tell her to and will go down with ship like a good partisan
Well, into DeSantis just because it's a good motivator
I'm thinking on putting some on Tester not getting re-elected, not much, but idk
I wouldn’t. Do it for Blackburn, Cramer, and Hawley
They will all win I think
The American public seems to be keeping a close eye on the SC confirmation process, and this is the prime occasion for opinions to harden
Blackburn is the most questionable. I expected Bredesen’s numbers to start tanking by now but they aren’t budging
TN has me worried
Heck he was leading by 5 in a poll today
Looks like McCaskill is still up according to the betting market
That might be the best investment for me to go with
Hey guys
a whitepill is something which gives some optimism
The opposite of a blackpill