Message from @Walter Johnson

Discord ID: 496475804805365760


2018-10-02 00:05:50 UTC  

πŸ’€ Heitkamp πŸ’€

2018-10-02 00:06:06 UTC  

Solid will still say this race is Safe D @fhtagn

2018-10-02 00:06:44 UTC  

a decent chunk of atlas would call it a junk poll cause they're convinced Dems will take the Senate

2018-10-02 00:07:23 UTC  

πŸ’€

2018-10-02 00:07:32 UTC  

Lots of whitepills coming from ND, this is at least lean R

2018-10-02 00:10:56 UTC  

This is why the Kav vote is so important, this could shift a lot of these races into our favor depending on the polling

2018-10-02 00:14:55 UTC  

Kavanaugh leads as the #1 issue according to the ND voters, beating out healthcare, immigration, the economy, and everything else.

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/496475132416753674/image0.jpg

2018-10-02 00:15:05 UTC  

I cannot stress this enough, this is pivotal.

2018-10-02 00:15:43 UTC  

Sup

2018-10-02 00:15:46 UTC  

How's everyone

2018-10-02 00:15:56 UTC  

pretty good my man

2018-10-02 00:16:22 UTC  

Damn

2018-10-02 00:16:44 UTC  

all of those issues besides Healthcare are in the GOP's favor

2018-10-02 00:16:56 UTC  

Atlas dumbasses say that voting against Kavanaugh will help them win re-election

2018-10-02 00:17:09 UTC  

Keep in mind this is purely the ND electorate, which is very conservative

2018-10-02 00:17:12 UTC  

maybe not Taxes

2018-10-02 00:17:19 UTC  

Oh okay

2018-10-02 00:17:35 UTC  

still though

2018-10-02 00:17:37 UTC  

Having Kavanaugh be the main concern is one which would likely be shared among most other states imo

2018-10-02 00:17:39 UTC  

Cramer is a good candidate

2018-10-02 00:17:43 UTC  

Texas is becoming Virginia 2.0

2018-10-02 00:17:47 UTC  

I think people really underestimate how conservative ND is

2018-10-02 00:17:56 UTC  

and the ND state party is more competent than the MO and IN state party

2018-10-02 00:18:23 UTC  

if Cramer flips ND, Dems need either TN or TX to have any shot at flipping the Senate

2018-10-02 00:18:24 UTC  

I think Liberals in general underestimate how conservative most parts of the country are in general

2018-10-02 00:19:15 UTC  

I suspect other states are taking the Kavanaugh issue as seriously as ND, they may not be as enthused about him, but it'll certainly hurt red/purple state dem senators very badly if they vote no.

2018-10-02 00:19:51 UTC  

I feel Tester's chances would swing the wildest after a no vote, which is almost certain at this point.

2018-10-02 00:21:49 UTC  

Montana is weird

2018-10-02 00:22:02 UTC  

he never has ran as a moderate apart from guns

2018-10-02 00:26:07 UTC  

Montana has a contingency of voters who for some reason stubbornly vote democratic at the state level. Idk how they have fallen for Bullock and Tester.
Tester is as liberal as most other dem senators, and yet gets crazy crossover votes from right-leaning voters

2018-10-02 00:27:04 UTC  

40% that none of the dem senators vote yes

2018-10-02 00:27:32 UTC  

I hope that's true. That, assuming we get complete party line vote after the FBI investigation wraps up, will be splendid for us.

2018-10-02 00:28:16 UTC  

I think Manchin will vote yes

2018-10-02 00:28:20 UTC  

And that’s it

2018-10-02 00:28:26 UTC  

I think so as well.

2018-10-02 00:28:31 UTC  

Though Donnelly has showed signs of back tracking

2018-10-02 00:28:42 UTC  

I haven't seen signals from any of the other dem senators that they would