predictions-and-insights

Discord ID: 444210259679248387


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2018-05-10 19:09:12 UTC

Governors:
Dem Tossup: 1 (CT)
Independent Tossup: 1 (AK)
GOP Loss: 3 (IL, ME, NM)
GOP Tossup: 3 (FL, MI, NV)
House:
Dem Loss: 1 (PA-14)
Dem Tossup: 2 (MN-01, MN-08)
GOP Loss: 7 (AZ-02, CA-49, FL-27, NJ-02, PA-05, PA-06, PA-07)
GOP Tossup: 18 (CA-10, CA-25, CA-39, CA-48, CO-06, FL-26, IA-01, MN-03, MI-11, MN-02, NE-02, NJ-11, NY-19, NY-22, NJ-11, PA-01, PA-17, WA-08)
Senate:
Dem Tossup: 5 (FL, IN, MO, ND, WV)
GOP Tossup: 2 (AZ, NV)

2018-05-11 21:21:17 UTC

I would also say MT

2018-05-11 21:21:29 UTC

for senate

2018-05-11 21:21:38 UTC

and maybe TN

2018-05-11 21:22:24 UTC

TN, yikes. Marsha Blackburn is a horrible person. But she will still probably win

2018-05-11 21:22:35 UTC

yeah

2018-05-11 21:22:50 UTC

I think all nationalists are horrible

2018-05-11 21:22:58 UTC

Good to know

2018-05-11 21:23:32 UTC

And why would you say that?

2018-05-11 21:23:40 UTC

They dont see that governments are to protect you, not to create a national identity

2018-05-11 21:23:58 UTC

I've helped write several posts on House/Senate elections and recommendations in our Reddit sub - I did Tennessee - boy, that state was depressing AF

2018-05-11 21:24:28 UTC

Huh? I'm confused Jeff

2018-05-11 21:24:45 UTC

Nationalists believe in their own country before others

2018-05-11 21:25:10 UTC

my rifle is the one that protects me

2018-05-11 21:25:17 UTC

and with manifest destiny, we were made under the social contract theory, the idea that government rules a land and not a people is messed up

2018-05-11 21:25:45 UTC

your rifle is the model that people use to kill

2018-05-11 21:26:13 UTC

so im suppossed to let the other guy kill me or steal my property?

2018-05-11 21:26:18 UTC

no

2018-05-11 21:26:21 UTC

Any rifle is such model

2018-05-11 21:26:32 UTC

your supposed to take his gun and burn it

2018-05-11 21:26:42 UTC

Since when does metal burn?

2018-05-11 21:26:45 UTC

News to me

2018-05-11 21:26:45 UTC

he will shoot me. how will i take it

2018-05-11 21:26:49 UTC

?

2018-05-11 21:26:58 UTC

use something

2018-05-11 21:27:03 UTC

we have knives

2018-05-11 21:27:08 UTC

bows

2018-05-11 21:27:09 UTC

jesus, liberals are mental

2018-05-11 21:27:10 UTC

And precisely, he's 100 feet away, you say put down your rifle so I can take it

2018-05-11 21:27:10 UTC

arrows

2018-05-11 21:27:21 UTC

You honestly think he'd surrender???

2018-05-11 21:27:33 UTC

a gun is a weapon of war

2018-05-11 21:27:43 UTC

destroy them all

2018-05-11 21:27:44 UTC

Ok arrows, that's dumb, by the time I ready an arrow he's shot me

2018-05-11 21:27:52 UTC

By the time I grab a knife he's shot me

2018-05-11 21:27:59 UTC

i bet jeffs the type of guy that says "why did that cop shoot that murderer that was shooting at him? why didnt he just taze the gun out of his hands?"

2018-05-11 21:28:06 UTC

By the time I call the police, he's shot me and robbed my house

2018-05-11 21:28:22 UTC

If guns are outlawed, only the GOVERNMENT will have guns. And that's no bueno.

2018-05-11 21:28:29 UTC

Why was the gun produced outside the military in the first place

2018-05-11 21:28:30 UTC

thats what he wants

2018-05-11 21:28:42 UTC

Also, there are MILLIONS of unregistered guns

2018-05-11 21:28:56 UTC

So arrest the dealer

2018-05-11 21:28:58 UTC

They're illegal in the first place, do you honestly think people would surrender them?

2018-05-11 21:29:07 UTC

democrats dream is to disarm everyone,get themselves in charge and then oppress everyone.

2018-05-11 21:29:15 UTC

not all Dems

2018-05-11 21:29:32 UTC

So that just means people who legally own guns would submit them

2018-05-11 21:29:33 UTC

I think they will surrender, to a military squad

2018-05-11 21:29:36 UTC

nah, not alll. just 90 percent of them. the other 10 are just braindead

2018-05-11 21:29:43 UTC

heyyyyyy now

2018-05-11 21:29:59 UTC

Buddy

2018-05-11 21:30:08 UTC

You can't track an unregistered gun

2018-05-11 21:30:12 UTC

Republicans called parkland fake

2018-05-11 21:30:21 UTC

I'm a republican

2018-05-11 21:30:29 UTC

15, in the public school system

2018-05-11 21:30:41 UTC

You're 15??

2018-05-11 21:30:41 UTC

In Florida

2018-05-11 21:30:47 UTC

I mean hardcore freedom caucus republicans

2018-05-11 21:30:51 UTC

And I know Parkland was darn real

2018-05-11 21:30:59 UTC

exactly

2018-05-11 21:31:07 UTC

And I darn well support the 2nd amendment

2018-05-11 21:31:14 UTC

but why

2018-05-11 21:31:30 UTC

As do I - although I vote Dem in local elections - mostly

2018-05-11 21:31:31 UTC

you saw what happened at parkland and columbine

2018-05-11 21:31:52 UTC

The 19 year old dude at Parkland had the gun illegally

2018-05-11 21:31:58 UTC

no

2018-05-11 21:31:59 UTC

He should not have been on campus

2018-05-11 21:32:06 UTC

he bought the gun legally

2018-05-11 21:32:12 UTC

from a local gun shop

2018-05-11 21:32:17 UTC

The police officer freaking cowered outside while letting students get murdered

2018-05-11 21:32:34 UTC

No he was not legally allowed to own it

2018-05-11 21:32:51 UTC

even though the FBI went to him 37 times he got through the background check

2018-05-11 21:32:57 UTC

There were multiple calls to police of his mental instability

2018-05-11 21:32:59 UTC

Right? Cops are good at stomping blacks outside of the Waffle House, but not so good at helping in actual dangerous situations

2018-05-11 21:33:04 UTC

multiple

2018-05-11 21:33:13 UTC

There were hundreds of things that went wrong

2018-05-11 21:33:15 UTC

I can understand guns and a gun range or handguns

2018-05-11 21:33:20 UTC

And you idiots blame the gun

2018-05-11 21:33:39 UTC

bun rifles and assault rifles?

2018-05-11 21:34:10 UTC

Do you think AR means assault rifle? Are you one of those idiots?

2018-05-11 21:34:19 UTC

yeah

2018-05-11 21:34:20 UTC

Assault rifles are banned

2018-05-11 21:34:43 UTC

AR = ARmaLite

2018-05-11 21:34:48 UTC

AR stands for the company that makes them

2018-05-11 21:34:54 UTC

ArmaLite

2018-05-11 21:34:58 UTC

lol

2018-05-11 21:35:03 UTC

They also make shotguns and snipers

2018-05-11 21:35:22 UTC

A sniper is a freaking assault rifle? Really?

2018-05-11 21:35:28 UTC

I am a lefty that is very pro 2A

2018-05-11 21:36:06 UTC

There are no guns in Britain, and now the government jails hundreds of thousands for posting offensive content on social media

2018-05-11 21:36:30 UTC

theres been a bunch of shooting in the UK recently

2018-05-11 21:36:48 UTC

But-but-but the gun buyback worked in Australia right?!?! There was just a shooting killing 7 people in AU.

2018-05-11 21:37:04 UTC

By no guns I meant a ban

2018-05-11 21:37:25 UTC

Let the government take your second and they take your first

2018-05-11 21:37:40 UTC

in sweden the liberal eutopia they have grenade attacks by the "peaceful" refugees.

2018-05-11 21:38:17 UTC

They're now banning knives in Britain due to a recent amount of knife attacks

2018-05-11 21:38:24 UTC

trying to*

2018-05-11 21:38:47 UTC

What's next banning sticks?

2018-05-11 21:39:07 UTC

thats what liberals want here in the US

2018-05-11 21:40:56 UTC

@A guy named Jeff Do you have a counterargument or no?

2018-05-11 21:41:09 UTC

sorry what?

2018-05-11 21:41:19 UTC

I was uploading my senate map

2018-05-11 21:41:26 UTC

I was making the map

2018-05-11 21:41:32 UTC

one moment let me read

2018-05-11 21:41:34 UTC

We've been here completely trashing your point and you aren't defending it

2018-05-11 21:42:37 UTC

oh

2018-05-11 21:42:57 UTC

So during the assault weapons ban in the US everyone was good

2018-05-11 21:43:06 UTC

the shootings decreased

2018-05-11 21:43:14 UTC

read time magazine

2018-05-11 21:43:19 UTC

it said so

2018-05-11 21:43:32 UTC

they are from your conservative media

2018-05-11 21:43:45 UTC

Time magazine is conservative?

2018-05-11 21:43:45 UTC

even trump in 2000 agreed

2018-05-11 21:43:48 UTC

yeah

2018-05-11 21:43:52 UTC

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

2018-05-11 21:43:57 UTC

they come from merideth co

2018-05-11 21:44:00 UTC

@A guy named Jeff what state are you from btw

2018-05-11 21:44:04 UTC

NJ

2018-05-11 21:44:09 UTC

haha

2018-05-11 21:44:12 UTC

gotta diss you now

2018-05-11 21:44:13 UTC

=p

2018-05-11 21:44:30 UTC

Merideth co comes from Koch

2018-05-11 21:44:51 UTC

Time magazine conservative is the actual funniest thing I have heard in the past week

2018-05-11 21:45:06 UTC

Next to someone saying "Wait, they got the sun in Spain?"

2018-05-11 21:45:38 UTC

it's parent company is parented by the Koch brothers

2018-05-11 21:45:40 UTC

But that's not the argument

2018-05-11 21:46:40 UTC

Is the argument

2018-05-11 21:47:54 UTC

Regardless of who wins or loses,

2018-05-11 21:48:02 UTC

where is that from?

2018-05-11 21:48:12 UTC

there will be a 1 to 3 seat majority for whichever party controls Congress in 2019

2018-05-11 21:48:16 UTC

it'll be a close race

2018-05-11 21:48:29 UTC

Can't find my source ignore that

2018-05-11 21:49:15 UTC

Do you agree with these sites as reputable?

2018-05-11 21:49:33 UTC

sorry to break it but the first site, no

2018-05-11 21:49:36 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444210259679248387/444617095960068097/unknown.png

2018-05-11 21:49:36 UTC

this dude has to be larping as a liberal and trolling us

2018-05-11 21:50:00 UTC

The first site is the BBC

2018-05-11 21:50:19 UTC

The second is a government site

2018-05-11 21:50:22 UTC

Are you ok?

2018-05-11 21:51:27 UTC

You used a graph

2018-05-11 21:51:38 UTC

BBC in my head was second

2018-05-11 21:51:44 UTC

No I said "Can't find my source ignore that"

2018-05-11 21:51:56 UTC

ok

2018-05-11 21:52:14 UTC

But BBC and CDC are credible

2018-05-11 21:52:20 UTC

So you agree with the BBC statistic of how many gun deaths there are in 2015?

2018-05-11 21:52:22 UTC

Ok good

2018-05-11 21:52:45 UTC

@A guy named Jeff Are you an opens border person?

2018-05-11 21:52:58 UTC

yeah

2018-05-11 21:53:09 UTC

What's your motive

2018-05-11 21:53:20 UTC

both my parents are imigrants

2018-05-11 21:53:26 UTC

Ah

2018-05-11 21:53:37 UTC

You want more of your own people in the country?

2018-05-11 21:53:52 UTC

So @A guy named Jeff There is a 0.004079214% chance you will die by gun in the USA

2018-05-11 21:54:01 UTC

According to the BBC

2018-05-11 21:54:27 UTC
2018-05-11 21:54:54 UTC

I despise this "we get the job done" shtick

2018-05-11 21:55:01 UTC

Americans can get the job done too

2018-05-11 21:55:01 UTC

same

2018-05-11 21:55:10 UTC

it just hamilton

2018-05-11 21:55:19 UTC

The argument suggests that Americans are too stupid to do the work

2018-05-11 21:55:23 UTC

According to the CDC, there is a 0.186% chance that you will not even be born in the USA

2018-05-11 21:55:28 UTC

What is the bigger issue?

2018-05-11 21:55:43 UTC

0.004079214% or 0.186%

2018-05-11 21:55:59 UTC

ok look, guns are an issue

2018-05-11 21:56:08 UTC

I am ok with ranges and handguns

2018-05-11 21:56:39 UTC

But not hunting?

2018-05-11 21:56:42 UTC

but military grade weapons belong in the military, not on civilian hands

2018-05-11 21:56:47 UTC

What wins an AR-15 or a glock

2018-05-11 21:56:51 UTC

hunting is ok

2018-05-11 21:57:05 UTC

well

2018-05-11 21:57:07 UTC

and and AR-15 belongs in the military

2018-05-11 21:57:11 UTC

it's hard to define military grade

2018-05-11 21:57:11 UTC

http://i.4cdn.org/pol/1526074648111.png

this kid needs to learn how to spell

2018-05-11 21:57:18 UTC

well, you said ranges and handguns, and hunting requires a shotgun or a rifle

2018-05-11 21:57:42 UTC

"assault weapons" and "military-grade" are kind of vague

2018-05-11 21:57:48 UTC

expand on that a bit

2018-05-11 21:57:53 UTC

AR-15 is military grade? If you go into combat with an AR-15 you are an absolute idiot

2018-05-11 21:58:00 UTC

If it is for hunting, I dont like hunting but I can allow it

2018-05-11 21:58:09 UTC

You will get killed so darn fast

2018-05-11 21:58:17 UTC

and David Hogg is a parkland survivor

2018-05-11 21:58:43 UTC

As long as an AR-15 doesn't have a bump stock or a switch that can turn it to full auto, I don't see a problem

2018-05-11 21:58:45 UTC

So are the conservative survivors that CNN silences

2018-05-11 21:58:57 UTC

Yeah I agree on the bump stock issue

2018-05-11 21:59:04 UTC

Actually no

2018-05-11 21:59:24 UTC

For the original intent of defending against a tyrannical government you'd need a full auto

2018-05-11 22:00:04 UTC

Any gun you can kill someone on the military in battle with is a military gun

2018-05-11 22:00:13 UTC

I have a constitutional right to a nuclear weapon if I want one to defend myself from the government

2018-05-11 22:00:24 UTC

No you dont

2018-05-11 22:00:32 UTC

Dude

2018-05-11 22:00:41 UTC

If someone shoots a soldier

2018-05-11 22:00:52 UTC

And I take a rock and throw it at the soldier who then dies

2018-05-11 22:00:57 UTC

Is a rock a military weapon?

2018-05-11 22:01:02 UTC

no

2018-05-11 22:01:14 UTC

but in battle the soldier should have a gun

2018-05-11 22:01:16 UTC

Is a rock naturally meant to kill military personnel

2018-05-11 22:01:32 UTC

If you take a glock and shoot a soldier in the back of the head when he isn't looking is it military grade?

2018-05-11 22:01:43 UTC

why dont we save the military guy one gun instead of giving it to a psycopath

2018-05-11 22:01:44 UTC

No

2018-05-11 22:02:03 UTC

It's not military grade

2018-05-11 22:02:28 UTC

A musket was once military grade

2018-05-11 22:02:29 UTC

You take a semi-auto against a full-auto and you die in seconds

2018-05-11 22:02:34 UTC

You have no chance

2018-05-11 22:02:47 UTC

Was once is the key word

2018-05-11 22:03:00 UTC

I know

2018-05-11 22:03:21 UTC

but what kind of idiot would go around with a musket?

2018-05-11 22:03:37 UTC

Well that's what you want us to carry

2018-05-11 22:03:39 UTC

So, you

2018-05-11 22:04:18 UTC

no

2018-05-11 22:04:30 UTC

I want you to carry switchblades

2018-05-11 22:04:38 UTC

I have a switchblade

2018-05-11 22:04:47 UTC

Hmmmmmmmmmmmm

2018-05-11 22:04:54 UTC

A handgun of a kinfe

2018-05-11 22:04:57 UTC

Who wins?

2018-05-11 22:05:12 UTC

*grabs knife* *gets shot*

2018-05-11 22:05:18 UTC

That's who

2018-05-11 22:05:18 UTC

Once, the best the government had was muskets while the best a farmer had was a musket.
Today, a civilian could legaly get semi auto rifles and make them fully automated the government has a predator drone and nuclear warheads

2018-05-11 22:05:19 UTC

Whoa, whoa

2018-05-11 22:05:47 UTC

Ok nukes are a no-no

2018-05-11 22:05:50 UTC

or you can throw the knife an leave the handgun guy with a bigger wound

2018-05-11 22:06:07 UTC

A wound or a shot to the head killing instantly?

2018-05-11 22:06:30 UTC

a knife to the head would also kill instantly

2018-05-11 22:06:35 UTC

Well,

2018-05-11 22:06:43 UTC

buddy if you can throw a knife that well

2018-05-11 22:06:44 UTC

I imagine that would be difficult

2018-05-11 22:07:08 UTC

Also, you can dodge a knife

2018-05-11 22:07:11 UTC

Not a bullet

2018-05-11 22:07:16 UTC

you can

2018-05-11 22:07:24 UTC

you need fast reflexes

2018-05-11 22:07:30 UTC

Oh please, who are you the flash?

2018-05-11 22:07:36 UTC

I tried before

2018-05-11 22:07:45 UTC

Ok now you're just lying

2018-05-11 22:07:57 UTC

In a LSC simulation

2018-05-11 22:08:04 UTC

That makes sense

2018-05-11 22:08:07 UTC

A pice of plywood could block a knife, not a bullet

2018-05-11 22:08:13 UTC

I was 0.7 second away

2018-05-11 22:08:30 UTC

If it travels thousands of feet per second

2018-05-11 22:08:44 UTC

.7 seconds means you're as good as dead

2018-05-11 22:08:50 UTC

I know

2018-05-11 22:08:57 UTC

.1 means you're good as dead

2018-05-11 22:09:26 UTC

@Deleted User can you save me?

2018-05-11 22:09:35 UTC

He's not a liberal

2018-05-11 22:09:39 UTC

Just a liberal lover

2018-05-11 22:09:51 UTC

And a hater of me so he may help

2018-05-11 22:09:57 UTC

I'm no expert on gun policy

2018-05-11 22:10:04 UTC

@Deleted User do you even know what liberal means?

2018-05-11 22:10:13 UTC

Yes it's a political ideology

472 total messages. Viewing 250 per page.
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