pennsylvania
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There is a special election on Tuesday, January 23rd for the Pennsylvania House of Representatives 35th District. Don't forget to vote!
https://ballotpedia.org/State_legislative_special_elections,_2018#January_23.2C_2018
REGISTER TO VOTE ASAP
https://www.eac.gov/voters/register-and-vote-in-your-state/
TODAY IS SPECIAL ELECTION IN PA-35
HOW THE HELL AM I THE ONLY ONE HERE WHO KNOWS THIS??
https://ballotpedia.org/Pennsylvania_House_of_Representatives_District_35
https://ballotpedia.org/Pennsylvania_House_of_Representatives_District_35
https://ballotpedia.org/Pennsylvania_House_of_Representatives_District_35
fools
Wolf has got to go
are you from PA
Yes. I actually live in District 18
Are you able to campaign there?
excellent! your vote is crucial!
I have been going back and forth. I really want to campaign for Mango for Governor. Not sure if I have 2 campaigns in me
PA-18 is in March, so just focus on that for now
I campaigned for Trump in 2016
once it's over, focus on the governor's race
and on the senate race
I'm worried about the District race just because it's going to be a very low turnout election I think.
No way could Lamb win in a normal election
your district should be safe
small, white towns all about
Yeah I'm in Suburban Pittsburgh probably the bluest part of the district and there are as many Saccone Signs as Lamb signs
I think we should be able to lock it up but we should have people campaigning there regardless.
Grassroots are important.
what was the ratio of R and D signs
Coal is a massive part of our Economy. Wayne and Washington County have massive multi billion dollar mines. Some of the biggest in North America
I mean Green not Wayne County
That should help Republicans
In my neighborhood probably about 50/50 I can count tomorrow
good
The Dem voters in the neighborhood are a lot like you would expect. Weardos and older women
lol, what kind of weirdo
found this may-may on /ptg/
we need more like it
definitely
once we get all the websites and all that infrastructure built up, then we can go ahead and start churning out content
so let me see if I have this right: we've got the subreddit, the twitter page, and the website?
@FLanon we have a subreddit with no subs, and a Twitter with no followers (yet)
Hopefully we have the WordPress website up soon
and of course, we habe Regular threads on /pol/
this discord
and a bunch of copypastas and memes on my Dropbox
Yeah once the website's up and running we'll definitely get some content made
btw, are you in charge of the subreddit and twitter page?
@FLanon @NittyMyMitten is in charge of the subreddit
and I have no experience with Twitter, so I shared the account with @AฬฬฬฬฬฬขฬงฬกฬฅฬฬญyeExEyeอจอฌฬผฬฬฒ
the thing is...I think Twitter did something with it
"caution this account is temporarily restricted"
fuck these people
how did you get Charlie Kirk to follow you
Charlie Kirk follows fucking everyone
Like 216k accounts
Well, that's the primary battle over just like that
Barletta's a good guy, definitely a guy to push
Have you thought about conta
wtf am I looking at
Did the Democrats propose this monstrosity?
Supposedly this is the Congress Maps that Pa Democrats want what was leaked. It's being circulated online. I'm not sure if it's real or not.
Are the colors the proposed districts?
Because those look even more unconstitutional than the current districts
If they're not the exact same districts, that is!
"This is my district. Conor is running a grassroots campaign. He is going to PTA meetings, Jewish community centers, School teacher meetings, local union chapters, and knocking on doors in all Allegheny, Washington, westmoreland and Greene counties. This type of campaigning means more than dumping money into tv ad buys."
Is that comment true on there? The one that says Republicans are outspending Lamb 15 to 1?
Jesus
Are we?
I don't want us to blow our load before November like the dems are doing
These elections are important, but big picture, we're going to need to have that money for Nov 6
@Den >WaPo
if it's true, it's actually a good thing
Why would it be a good thing?
the Democrats have been overspending us in the past few special elections
it's good we do the same to them for once
What overspend?
No
We need to overspend on the big day
@FLanon I want to see the Democrats BTFO on the PA-18 race
This is small fish relative to November.
they've been gloating about their "overperformances" when really it's because they've been overspending
it's not like the GOP is going to blow all their money on this one race
they have too much to do that
I'd rather lose this election and get the seats we need in November
We need all the resources we can get, we cannot afford to match the left money-wise on anything other than November
I want to see them lose PA-18 also, but the thing is we've got more drastic stuff beyond that
This is how I see it
i'm not to sure how valuable the PA-18 race will be as an indicator for November,
there will be sizeable shift for the Dems regardless, simply because Murphy, who was popular among the general population, is not on the ballot
it's difficult to say just how conservative PA-18 really is,
because the district is relatively recently drawn
let's take a look to see how Trump performed here,
okay,
according to the data, Trump won here by a 10-20% margin,
which represents its voting habit in a neutral environment (without Murphy on the ballot, being popular and all)
it's definitely not the most pro-GOP area of the state,
but it's not like Georgia-6 (suburban, college-educated),
so assuming Trump can energize voters here, the GOP candidate (name escapes me) should be fine
@๐Boo-ton๐ the issue is that the Democrat candidate, Lamb, is doing a grassroots, door-to-door campaign and a good looking guy
Conor Lamb campaigns like how every GOP candidate should campaign
if Moore campaigned like he did, Doug Jones would have gotten BTFO
If an incumbent leaves in a scandalous position, their party will be weaker in the next election, look at Al Franken's seat, it's considered vulnerable, hell, back in '06, it turned out the congressman in my district was a pedophile and a dem won for the first time since 1993 in the area.
FL-16 btw
yeah, that is a problem, though the GOP still has the advantage in the race
it can all get better
unless,
I do hope Saccone doesn't sit on his ass and expect a win just because of that though
*shudder*
he turns about to be child molester
or...
he gets accused of being one
didn't Moore's accusations happen a month before the race?
If it does happen in PA-18, it should be any day now
unless they're going to do it a week before
I've always thought that such accusations would be better timed if they occured a few days before the election, rather than a month
Pussygate happened a month before the election, Moore's pedo scandal happened a month before the election
Trump won, and Moore could have won if he actually put real effort into the campaign
Yeah Lamb's chances are looking good
Saccone needs to do something
Even then, Lamb's ideals aren't as bad as they could be
he seems moderate in all forms
which I caqn get behind
if Saccone campaigned in a grassroots, door to door fashion like Lamb is doing, he would BTFO Lamb
the reason Democrats can win in 'safe red' districts is because
1. In special elections, turnout is much lower
2. Someone who does door-to-door grassroots campaigns can get enough voters such that, even if a district is 90% GOP and 10% Democrat, they can get 9% from the Democrat percentage and trounce the Republican if they only get 8%
the same things applies to Republicans running in 'safe blue' districts
This is what I've been saying for a long time, in electoral politics, there is no such thing as high and dry
If you try hard enough and the opponent slacks enough, any state can be won
the thing is, I'm waiting for ayeexeye to make that wordpress blog
so that there's something to show off
Thats pretty red
you're not looking at it right
it's not *how* red it is, it's how many of those districts are red
Right now, the composition is 13 R, 5 D
this map could cause it to be 10 R, 8 D
" I was on the fence until last nights debate. Lamb's deer in the headlights repetition of Democrat talking points was uninspiring. At least Saccone has a pulse and some real answers."
hmm
" I agree Nita. I'm very disappointed in Lamb who appears to be catering to the deplorables."
" I'm glad I live a block away from the 18th District and don't have to choose between two candidates that think it's OK to sell assault rifles."
Saccone Facebook Page isn't getting blasted today. Everyone is defending him if someone tries and they are calling Lamb out for wanting abortion on demand
Do you have friends and/or family in that district by chance?
I live in that district
oh right
fantastic
would you saw the political environment has improved there?
TRUMP RALLY TOMORROW IN PENNSYLVANIA
@Den interestng, yeah I looked at Saccone's and Lamb's FB pages a few days ago. So they're bustling with activity since that debate I'm guessing ?
In Pleasant Hills Lamb signs now outnumber Saccone signs by about 5 to 1
It's. More bluer town in the district though
A few weeks ago they were about equal
sheeeittt
you've seen that firsthand ?
I'm guessing that's where you're from ?
Yes I have. Not that long ago they were equal. The thing is that Connor Lamb is basically running as a younger Republican. Like he is very pro gun and talks about how he basically hates Nancy Palosi
yeah, that's a winning strategy
did you watch the Saccone Lamb debate
at a glance, it looks like Saccone did better
Lamb sounded robotic/rehearsed
he's good looking though, that will help him
especially in comparison to Saccone who's a fat old guy
appearances
these fucks don't get that, they need to actually campaign to win a campaign
who here has seen the debate ?
<@&414477865153724416>
The people who face are voting for Saccone
I don't know if he is good looking or not. All White male Democrats come off as effeminate to me. I think because I have no respect for them
If Connor Lamb does win he won't be able to hold it in November. Not with the whole district voting
"the people who face" ?
<@&414477865153724416> Who here is registered to vote?
Who here is NOT registered to vote?
if you aren't be sure to register ASAP
Pennsylvania is arguably going to be the BUSIEST battleground state in 2018
respectfully disagree, sir
the most competitive states would have to Minnesota and California in the House races
the most competitive states in the Senate would have to be Nevada and Indiana
@๐Boo-ton๐ isn't California going to be pretty lopsided for the left though?
yes
Minnesota is going to be a busy battleground as well
but it's not as large as Pennsylvania
Indiana seems like an easy win for the GOP
PA-18: Total TV/radio ad spending is now nearly $12 million
67% Pro-Saccone
33% Pro-Lamb
not as much as the GA-06 race though right?
no
sheeitttt
the good news is that it can motivate Saccone to bust his ass even more
that's direct evidence that what he's doing so far isn't working
there was a poll back in the GA-06 race that had Ossoff 7 points ahead
๐ ๐ ๐ SAY IT WITH ME
Democratic Party getting a bump from this poll
@everyone by the way, who here has spent $ on PredictIt before ??
Me
I bet on Trump. @Deleted User
Then I flushed like $20 on his cabinet picks
And now I've got $29 from my more recent bets
@Nuke have you noticed that the comments section is overrun with leftists
I wonder why that is
Never noticed
I think they might be coming from the Daily Kos
@Nuke Do you pay attention to the comments?
Barely
Betters tend to have a left-wing delusion.
Like AfD in Germany was cheap af even though it was an obvious winner for "third place" -- the reason I didn't buy any was that no one would win if SPD came in third.
this election will serve as evidence if this narrative is true or not: Trump's base is deserting him
I'm sure there are quite a few people willing to vote for Lamb who will still vote for Trump again in 2020
now, the media will try their best to spin it as Trumpgret
debate tonight at 7pm
@Deleted User BLACKPILLERS BTFO
DEMOCRATS BTFO
Well, this is a little better then
Hopefully the debate goes well with Saccone.
@FLanon @Deleted User ur blackpills have no weight here, concern troll finnshills
๐ซ๐ฎ
that's the spirit
?
@๐Boo-ton๐ how are Dems an Blackpillers BTFO?
wow, Rick Saccone's wife is South Korean
lol @๐Boo-ton๐ @FLanon @Den <@&414477865153724416>
If Facebook can't keep him down that's gotta be some sort of good omen
Um
of course his own comment section will be positive
how is that significant
@๐Boo-ton๐ lol it was crowded with leftist trolls just a couple days ago
Doesn't matter if it is his facebook, they don't discriminate on the gaslighting
if 474 a good sample?
Nope. Regular is ~1000.
If GOP loses this seat, expect a tidal wave of blackpills from me
Emerson:
Alabama- Moore +9 (Jones +1)
NJ- Murphy +16 (Murphy +14)
VA- Northam +3 (Northam +9)
Montana- Gianforte +15 (Gianforte +6)
Michigan- Clinton +7 (Trump +0.2)
Missouri- Trump +7 (Trump +17)
New Jersey- Clinton +4 (Clinton +14)
North Carolina- Clinton +3 (Trump +4)
PA- Clinton +5 (Trump +1)
@๐Boo-ton๐ lol I'll just ignore them
@Den What are your thoughts on this poll
<@&414477865153724416> We need to ramp up our PA-18 efforts!
I love how states like PA and NJ can be 90 percent red on maps yet be known as blue states all because of the urban elite.
...
@Nuke any suggestions for what to do with PA-18?
Shill the fuck out of it obviously. We've got to shill it.
but in all seriousness, we've got to do an anti-Lamb / pro-Trump campaign
As bland as it may sound
We just need to create new ammo like crazy to shoot
I had my second Yard Sign stolen. In going right now to pick up another right now. Apparently Lambs people have been stealing everyone's Saccone Signs
Reminds me of the local Parish President special election in 2016
People kept stealing my cousin's campaign signs
and while I'd go on walks I'd see them shredded in the streets and shit and I'd go
"I'm voting for my cousin, yep."
@Den what's the fucking point of them stealing signs? It's bound to backfire on them
This is so common it's possibly something that isn't done officially--but the point is to prevent the signs from serving as political ads.
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