okay,

according to the data, Trump won here by a 10-20% margin,
which represents its voting habit in a neutral environment (without Murphy on the ballot, being popular and all)

it's definitely not the most pro-GOP area of the state,

but it's not like Georgia-6 (suburban, college-educated),

so assuming Trump can energize voters here, the GOP candidate (name escapes me) should be fine

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 the issue is that the Democrat candidate, Lamb, is doing a grassroots, door-to-door campaign and a good looking guy

Conor Lamb campaigns like how every GOP candidate should campaign

if Moore campaigned like he did, Doug Jones would have gotten BTFO

If an incumbent leaves in a scandalous position, their party will be weaker in the next election, look at Al Franken's seat, it's considered vulnerable, hell, back in '06, it turned out the congressman in my district was a pedophile and a dem won for the first time since 1993 in the area.

FL-16 btw

yeah, that is a problem, though the GOP still has the advantage in the race

it can all get better

unless,

I do hope Saccone doesn't sit on his ass and expect a win just because of that though

*shudder*

he turns about to be child molester

or...

he gets accused of being one

didn't Moore's accusations happen a month before the race?

If it does happen in PA-18, it should be any day now

unless they're going to do it a week before

I've always thought that such accusations would be better timed if they occured a few days before the election, rather than a month

Pussygate happened a month before the election, Moore's pedo scandal happened a month before the election

Trump won, and Moore could have won if he actually put real effort into the campaign

Yeah Lamb's chances are looking good

Saccone needs to do something

Even then, Lamb's ideals aren't as bad as they could be

he seems moderate in all forms

which I caqn get behind

if Saccone campaigned in a grassroots, door to door fashion like Lamb is doing, he would BTFO Lamb

the reason Democrats can win in 'safe red' districts is because

1. In special elections, turnout is much lower

2. Someone who does door-to-door grassroots campaigns can get enough voters such that, even if a district is 90% GOP and 10% Democrat, they can get 9% from the Democrat percentage and trounce the Republican if they only get 8%

the same things applies to Republicans running in 'safe blue' districts

This is what I've been saying for a long time, in electoral politics, there is no such thing as high and dry

If you try hard enough and the opponent slacks enough, any state can be won

the thing is, I'm waiting for ayeexeye to make that wordpress blog

so that there's something to show off

<@&414477865153724416> @Red Storm (in NYC)

Thats pretty red

you're not looking at it right

it's not *how* red it is, it's how many of those districts are red

Right now, the composition is 13 R, 5 D