@everyone

TX-23 has changed between Democrats and Republicans many times

On May 8th,

We have the primaries for Indiana, Ohio, North Carolina, and West Virginia

We can ignore the congressional races in IN, OH, and WV and focus on the Senate primaries

If you are in Ohio, vote Mike Gibbons

We can ignore NC all together

For Senate

NC is safe in almost all apsects

Yep, this is already lost

How lol

Oh wait

That is IL

My guess is that they’re not voting democrat because they like them, but because they just hate trump even more. The DNC regardless needs to be stopped, they would destroy our country in the state they’re in right now.

Illinois is just a super democratic state to begin with, so I was rather surprised to see that they have a Republican governor. Second, the budget issue is what is will get that Democrat elected.

Will get them elected

we /need/ to get the unions on our sides

It's weird,

our economics make it possible

Republicans has been performing better in White Suburban areas than they have in the Poor White Small Towns that won Trump the WH

the social aspects should have the working class on our side

The White Working Class are angry and disappointed with Trump

I've told you.

Karens vote R downballot.

we need to convince them that

The democrats blocked all of our work

which is the truth

they just don't see it

Hopefully new China tarrifs can help.

hopefully they can help, quickly*

Economic recovery takes time,

it does

but we need fast political gains

but Poor Whites don't like waiting

so they backlash

They hyped Trump up too much.

^

Trump overpromised

What about the area where the steel mill opened?

Grant City, I think.

Would be interesting to see those results.

It helped a bit

Trump didn't overpromise.

Trump needs to speak to these people.

He actually just did what he had to do to win.

Go to the backwaters, go to the rural communities and talk to them.

The problem is that, ultimately, the Democrats are hellbent on making sure he doesn't win in 2020. To do this, they must stop Trump from implementing his campaign promises.

Trump ran as a anti-establishmentarian

He needs to reinforce this image

It doesn't help when he goes golfing with billionaires and political elites

Trump should just stop at a diner in small town Alabama or Louisiana every now and then

It would be good optics

Go to Chris' Hot Dogs in Montgomery.

Great food, and many other presidents visited it.

>Montgomery

I've heard Trump is uncomfortable around black folks

Not many blacks in the city center.

Not many people walking around in the city, either.

Lol

I couldn't see myself walking on the streets of cities like Baltimore, Atlanta, Birmingham, Jackson or St. Louis

there's probably a good reason these cities have seen the highest rates of White flight

Some places are nice, though.

I'm sure the suburbs have wonderful folks

Dexter Avenue, which is basically Main Street of Montgomery and the surrounding areas are actually pretty great.

Just a little oasis, though.

But I guess most cities have a core that's nice, trashy inner-cities, and nice suburbs.

HALLELUJAH! WHITEPILLS GALORE! THE PARKLAND EFFECT IS OVER! REPUBLICANS TRENDING UP!!!

Well this is great news.

lot of whitepills today

God is sending us a message.

Don't give up!

Goodness knows it’s hard not too some days.

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 what are the other white pills

The only women who could win in IL-06 lost the primary

So that means we have a good chance of securing that seat?

as crazy as it may seem,

if these recent YouGov and Quinnipiac polls are correct,

we would win if the election were held today

Now this is interesting.

I think the Parkland shooting effect on Republicans is fading

I wouldn’t expect it with all the social media craziness.

As screwed as it sounds, I’m glad the resource officer got the guy in Maryland. It means they can’t touch it because it violates their “good guys with guns don’t exist” narrative.

I will admit, Hogg did a number on us for a bit.

But isn’t there another march planned this weekend?

I think the American people don't care anymore,

they're drained by how politicized this has all become

I suppose the 2 minutes attention span worked in our favor this time.

in a way,

Hogg was a boon for us,

But I get it. A lot of people are just tired of it all.

he's divisive,

he's political,

he's really off-putting for a lot of Americans

Caused record breaking NRA membership if I remember correctly

500,000 (!)

Well isn’t that ironic

They were trying to take down the NRA but it just made them stronger.

who would've guessed that threatening to take your guns away makes people join organizations dedicated to protecting gun rights

Aren’t some guys organizing a march to protect gun rights?

i've a bit unfamiliar with the counter-demonstrations, but I believe so

Good luck to them. They’re going to get blamed for every school shooting, get called Nazi’s, and be the trending hashtag on twitter for all the check mark squad to make snobbish comments at. And I wouldn’t be surprised if a larger counter protest showed up.

My school organized something for a few people to write letters to right letters to congress members for muh gun control. I’m ashamed to say my friend wanted to join.

Well being called a nazi, racist, murder, etc. has been so overused that the words hvae lost their original meaning

/pol/ is ran by JIDF as to convince people to commit their bidding

good to be optimistic for once

now we have to drive those nails in

@FLanon

Latest McLaughlin poll has Dems up by 1

Quinnipiac poll: D+6 (previous polls D+15, D+10)

538 went from D+9.5 to D+6

yeah, I know McL has a right wing bias, but that is a damn large gap to close. Since the PA situation has changed some things, what would our margin need to be now to have the House at 230 seats?

before: 8-9

now: 7-8

before, I didn't take into account the incumbent retirement effect

Not to just keep it, but at that margin: 230-205

well,

depends, if you want to be safe,

and take into account the MOE,

That's what I believe would be good for the legislation we need to pass, I really don't want it to end up like the situation we have in the Senate now

I would say that Democrats would have to be at D+4 so they would not be able to take the house

Sure, there's less cucks and all, but if we just retake it, that may not be a big enough bottleneck for Trump's agenda.

there is 0% chance of taking the house if the average generic ballot is D+3 or lower

right now, Democrats have slightly less than 50% chance of taking the House

i'd say 47.5%

great, we'll make it happen

bring it down to D+3?

We'll see.

Honestly, it's not just about taking the house

It's about grabbing every possible seat.

We can't have a razor thin margin, we have to make it as wide as humanly possible.

@Deleted User @FLanon

As of today, Immigration is the most important issue among the GOP base. It's the only real issue that matters

where'd you find this?

Quinnipiac University Poll from today

We need to attach this to every email we send to those candidates

http://www.pennlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2018/03/gop_candidate_rick_saccone_con.html

that's the end of that chapter

No investigation?

Let's hope the right lesson was learned from this

Yep. Fuck deadbeats.

SAY IT WITH ME: ONLY

IMMIGRATION

This election was stolen from us.

Look at Allegheny County.

The blue spreads out into rural areas and doesn't continue into Washington county.

Suspicious...

Can't overstate the significance of this

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 what a useless fat lazy boomer

Anyways, here's a list one of the R orgs made of targeted seats and seats to defend
https://ballotpedia.org/National_Republican_Congressional_Committee

It's pretty comprehensive

haven't clicked yet, but I already know it's stupid,

>AZ-01

good

yeah, but, this gives us a point of reference

>AZ-09
bad

>CA-07
with the right candidate, maybe

we don't necessarily need to rally behind whatever candidates they come up with, but at the very least, we can maneuver the districts

>CA-52
Issa is running here, I'm not sure what's he thinking, but good luck to him, I like him

>CO-07
We're in danger of losing CO-06, don't waste your breath!

I don't really know about any of that, I say reach for the stars

>CT-02
>CT-05
Connecticut, as well as the rest of New England, is trending red. But that's not flipping this time around.

>MN-01
>MN-07
>MN-08
This should be the top priority. White, Rural, No College, it's perfect

>NH-01
>NH-02
I can see one, but not the other, focus on the first, if you have to pick

from where we're standing, we should reach for as many as possible

We can't just go "eh not that one, not that one"

>NM-01
>NM-05
Rural? Check. Non-College? Check? White? Yeah, no, keep moving, GOP.

True,

but we should focus on the most demographically viable districts

This is about making a red storm, and making our chances best.

Button Mash's list of targeted districts:

We should focus our efforts on as many opportunities as we can get.

That also means increasing the server population, so yeah, we should really reach out and get that discord link out there

Is it white?

1.) MN-01
2.) MN-07
3.) MN-08
4.) NV-03
5.) NH-01
6.) AZ-01
7.) IA-02
8.) NJ-05
9.) NV-04
10.) NH-02

Top 10 best shots right here ^

Minnesota, damn.

okay, those will be main priorities

Minnesota, outside of the Twin Cities, is Trump Country

>New Jersey

I mean, maybe.

and the other districts should be considered too

I think they're just working class, like i WI.

Not really Trump country.

reach for the stars

Most of these aren't Trump country,

but these are these least difficult to take

Trump isn't running, of course

Why none from any southern states?

Or Rust Belt.

Gotta get that working class viote.

Every Southern district,

FL-13 is the close one near me

with a white majority,

has a GOP rep

There is not a single White-majority district in the South left to take

It's about 79% white

Dem incumbent

The issue is that the incumbent in that seat is the former governor of the fucking state

Good luck getting Blacks in the South to vote Republican

Button mash lol

Blacks anywhere

Voting republic

Nice meme

79% white district in the (sorta) south

those Black-majority Districts in Birmingham and Jackson and Atlanta aren't flipping

@FLanon Virginia?

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 FL-13

It'll never change.

I assume that's around Orlando

No

Homosexual Urbanites

Pinellas County

Oh, Tampa

It's a bit of an urban county, but it's extremely swing

Rich White Elites in Condos, I presume

probably

the main issue with that district is the incumbent, who was the governor of florida at one point

But we should still put up a fight there

anyways, my point is, don't limit yourself

http://measureofamerica.org/maps/?area=Districts&race=All&sex=All&year=Year2012&index=HD%20Index

this is a good way to see the demographics of congressional districts

median earnings: 30k a year

Anyways, the unfortunate thing is that there's barely anyone running on the R side in that district

You know what the NRCC would do if they were smart?

this is true,

the GOP has a recruitment problem this year

what?

They'd go to military reserves, maybe recruit off duty members as congressional candidates

They usually have the best chances, usually young, and who doesn't love a veteran

Unfortunately they're so fucking brain dead they allowed for a neo-nazi to get the nomination in what would have been a potentially competitive seat

WTF

NONE OF THOSE FUNDS GO TOWARDS A CONCRETE WALL

fucking retarded

DUPED BY CONGRESSIONAL DEMOCRATS YET AGAIN

the military doesn't fucking need 700 bn ffs

>give Dems everything they demand in full
>get 10% of your wall for 'border security' and more inflated military spending to fight Jew wars in the Middle East

when is he going to realize this doesn't help him

The point of America First was, "hey everyone else, take care of your own military, we're done with the world police stuff". This will not get him a single voter in the rust belt.

This is so damn stupid I swear.

The DoD is the most inefficient and wasteful government agency, they don't need one more damned cent.

atm giving a border security budget is actually OK as long as you get enough for the Wall, as the prohibition on allocating funds to doing so has been removed

border security is good

they should funnel a bit of that unnecessary ridiculous military expansion money into the wall

all it takes is 24 billion

Yep.

Easier to get $100 billion for the military than $2 billion for the Wall though

in any case, the house freedom caucus is voicing opposition to it

@🎃Boo-ton🎃

>What is Senate Filibuster

They didn't get their DACA protections, so Democrats getting what they wanted isn't entirely true.

Yikes!

The bill **doubles** the cap on the H2-B worker guest program!