Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Discord ID: 426158926401110016


2018-03-21 22:51:17 UTC  

yeah, I know McL has a right wing bias, but that is a damn large gap to close. Since the PA situation has changed some things, what would our margin need to be now to have the House at 230 seats?

2018-03-21 22:52:34 UTC  

before: 8-9

2018-03-21 22:52:44 UTC  

now: 7-8

2018-03-21 22:53:22 UTC  

before, I didn't take into account the incumbent retirement effect

2018-03-21 22:53:42 UTC  

Not to just keep it, but at that margin: 230-205

2018-03-21 22:54:01 UTC  

well,

2018-03-21 22:54:10 UTC  

depends, if you want to be safe,

2018-03-21 22:54:20 UTC  

and take into account the MOE,

2018-03-21 22:55:03 UTC  

That's what I believe would be good for the legislation we need to pass, I really don't want it to end up like the situation we have in the Senate now

2018-03-21 22:55:18 UTC  

I would say that Democrats would have to be at D+4 so they would not be able to take the house

2018-03-21 22:55:45 UTC  

Sure, there's less cucks and all, but if we just retake it, that may not be a big enough bottleneck for Trump's agenda.

2018-03-21 22:55:46 UTC  

there is 0% chance of taking the house if the average generic ballot is D+3 or lower

2018-03-21 22:56:22 UTC  

right now, Democrats have slightly less than 50% chance of taking the House

2018-03-21 22:56:28 UTC  

i'd say 47.5%

2018-03-21 23:04:43 UTC  

great, we'll make it happen

2018-03-21 23:08:24 UTC  

bring it down to D+3?

2018-03-21 23:09:43 UTC  

We'll see.

2018-03-21 23:09:55 UTC  

Honestly, it's not just about taking the house

2018-03-21 23:10:08 UTC  

It's about grabbing every possible seat.

2018-03-21 23:10:32 UTC  

We can't have a razor thin margin, we have to make it as wide as humanly possible.

2018-03-21 23:24:04 UTC  

As of today, Immigration is the most important issue among the GOP base. It's the only real issue that matters

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/426159087466709004/REPUBLICAN_ISSUES.png

2018-03-21 23:24:33 UTC  

where'd you find this?

2018-03-21 23:26:55 UTC  

Quinnipiac University Poll from today

2018-03-21 23:27:56 UTC  

We need to attach this to every email we send to those candidates

2018-03-22 01:17:54 UTC  

that's the end of that chapter

2018-03-22 01:21:23 UTC  

No investigation?

2018-03-22 01:21:35 UTC  

Let's hope the right lesson was learned from this

2018-03-22 01:22:21 UTC  

Yep. Fuck deadbeats.

2018-03-22 01:22:22 UTC  

SAY IT WITH ME: ONLY

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/426188861203283968/image2.jpg

2018-03-22 01:22:28 UTC  

IMMIGRATION

2018-03-22 01:22:51 UTC  

This election was stolen from us.

2018-03-22 01:22:58 UTC  

Look at Allegheny County.

2018-03-22 01:23:15 UTC  

The blue spreads out into rural areas and doesn't continue into Washington county.

2018-03-22 01:23:24 UTC  

Suspicious...

2018-03-22 01:38:13 UTC  

Can't overstate the significance of this

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/426192846836727819/immigration_drove_trumps_victory_in_the_gop_primary.png

2018-03-22 01:43:58 UTC  

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 what a useless fat lazy boomer

2018-03-22 02:26:41 UTC  

Anyways, here's a list one of the R orgs made of targeted seats and seats to defend
https://ballotpedia.org/National_Republican_Congressional_Committee

2018-03-22 02:27:38 UTC  

It's pretty comprehensive

2018-03-22 02:37:34 UTC  

haven't clicked yet, but I already know it's stupid,