she's running because Romney is running

Does she have a thing for him or something?

I know she endorsed him

https://twitter.com/byrdinator/status/968171169986830337?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fdisqus.com%2Fembed%2Fcomments%2F%3Fbase%3Ddefault%26f%3Dpredictit%26t_i%3D3766%26t_u%3Dhttps%253A%252F%252Fwww.predictit.org%252FMarket%252F3766%252FWhich-party-will-win-the-House-of-Representatives-special-election-in-Pennsylvania%2526%252339%253Bs-18th-district%26t_e%3DPredictIt%2520%257C%2520Which%2520party%2520will%2520win%2520the%2520House%2520of%2520Representatives%2520special%2520election%2520in%2520Pennsylvania%2526%252339%253Bs%252018th%2520district%253F%26t_d%3D2018%2520Midterm%2520Predictions%2520%257C%25202018%2520House%2520Predictions%2520for%2520Pennsylvania%26t_t%3DPredictIt%2520%257C%2520Which%2520party%2520will%2520win%2520the%2520House%2520of%2520Representatives%2520special%2520election%2520in%2520Pennsylvania%2526%252339%253Bs%252018th%2520district%253F%26s_o%3Ddesc%23version%3D8f43bbfb9b3412e3c4830f9fabb4ff3f

hmm

Karen's mother, I bet

who the fuck is Karen

Karen is the idea of a generic white soccermom from North Virginia

right

"These people want to turn our country into a brown third world shithole, but Trump says mean things on Twitter so I'll vote Democrat."

unfortunately, that's how a lot of White women in America think

Country club Republicans.

they vote Republican because they want the federal government to stay out of their lives so they can raise their children the way they want without interference

small-government voters

I guess so.

But we can't have a small government if the uniparty is in power.

@FLanon Why North Virginia? I know that the DC Suburbs are a Democrat stronghold, but I had no idea it was significant enough for a slang term like Karen

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Twitter isn't a deciding factor for whe white women who voted against Trump

North Virginia is one example, and Karen is the most soccer mom name I could think of,

they also exist in the Chicago suburbs, Houston/Dallas suburbs, Philadelphia suburbs, etc.

and obviously there's more than just the tweets

it's his character in general

many white college-graduate women see Trump's rhetoric and characteristics as degrading to the presidency

Karen doesn't see Trump as the kind of president who she can have her children look up to as a role model in society

@Deleted User also,

the "Soccer Mom Vote" phenomenon has existed for more than a decade now

they're a swing voter demographic,

this article gives a good run down on the soccer mom's history in American politics:
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/07/2016-election-battleground-swing-states-soccer-moms-nascar-dads-demographics-trump-clinton-214047

I figured soccer moms like Trump

didn't they like Sarah Palin?

Married white women voted for Trump at a significant majority

also I figured Trump's twitter is written to specifically appeal to boomers

although to be fair, most soccer moms are Gen X at this point

and quite a few are millennials

the White Women vote can be broken down in many ways,

ex.:
White Christian Women voted Trump,
White Working Class Women voted Trump,
White College Grad Women did not vote for Trump,
White Married Women voted for Trump,
Single White Women did not vote for Trump

White Women overall voted for Trump by a 10-point margin

but it isn't smart to look at the national demographics,

you have to look at it from a regionalized viewpoint

and when you do, you will see that White College-educated women, which make up the plurality of women and the majority of white women in the districts that are controlled by Republicans but went for Hillary, are prevalent there.

hmm, so it comes down to those specific women

Any one know good ways to redpill your parents to get them to vote GOP?

list off the accomplishments of the GOP last year

warn them about the Democratic agenda (amnesty, gun confiscation, tax hikes)

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Let's come up with that list

Esperanto is for globalist faggots

The maga pill

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-Communist_Action

How is it even alt-right

It has nothing to do with race

My mic isn't working.

I was the guy who was leaving and joining to make it work.

brb

gonna get cider

YIKES!

@everyone

DEMOCRATS AT BACK AT +10.3 ON THE 538 GENERIC BALLOT

THAT'S THE BREAKING POINT

hmm

it'll go down

>Trusting polls

@here

Adam Woffin?

@Pielover19 Atomwaffen Division

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDDN0HxFMFE

http://0382c64.netsolstores.com/hellfiregen2snapon.aspx

big if true

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 so if that's true, it would mean 100,000 less votes to the Democrats in PA?

i think so

https://boards.4chan.org/pol/thread/162038052 bamp

@TrippyTurtle There's plenty of stuff that's been traditionally viewed as "AltRight" like Monarchism that has nothing to do with race.

okay, so,

who's here

ayo whiteboi, lissenup

here's a general rule when it comes to polls that include whites or white ____

if the poll shows whites to be a certain % of the sample size,

it can be safe to add +10%

every non-averaged poll can be safely skewed to the MOE of 3% because of this

maybe even an additional 3%

Yep, and I'm sure many of us here will be Red Storming in 2020 as well

and will learn from the right things we did in 2018 and the wrong things we did

@everyone some of you plan to run for office one day, so participating in this group will give you quite a few insights for your future endeavors

complex us demographic groups:

White Christian (43%)
White Working-class (33%)
White Protestant (30%)
White Christian, 65+ (28%)
White Christian, 50-64 (23%)
White Working-class Christian (23%)
White College-educated (21%)
White Evangelical Protestant (17%)
White Christian, 30-49 (16%)
White Evangelical Protestant Homeowner (13%)
White Mainline Protestant (13%)
White Catholic (11%)
White Christian, 18-29 (11%)
White Evangelical Protestant Married (11%)
White Evangelical Protestant Female (10%)
White Evangelical Protestant Working-class (10%)
White Mainline Protestant Homeowner (10%)
White Catholic Homeowner (9%)
White Working-Class Midwesterner (9%)
White Evangelical Protestant HS or less (8%)
White Evangelical Protestant Male (8%)
White Evangelical Protestant Southerner (8%)
White Mainline Protestant Married (8%)
White Catholic Married (7%)
White Mainline Protestant Female (7%)
White Mainline Protestant (7%)
White Catholic Women (6%)
White Catholic Working-Class (6%)
White Mainline Protestant Male (6%)
White Catholic Men (5%)
White Evangelical Protestant, 65+ (5%)
White Evangelical Protestant, 50-64 (5%)
White Evangelical Protestant, 30-49 (5%)
White Evangelical Protestant Parent (5%)
White Evangelical Protestant, Some college (5%)
White Catholic, 50-64 (4%)
White Evangelical Protestant Parent, 3 children at least (4%)
White Mainline Protestant, 30-49 (4%)
White Mainline Protestant, 50-64 (4%)
White Mainline Protestant, 65+ (4%)
White Mainline Protestant Parent (4%)
White Catholic, 30-49 (3%)
White Catholic, 65+ (3%)
White Catholic Parent (3%)
White Mainline Protestant Parent, 3 children at least (3%)
White Catholic Parent, 3 children at least (2%)
White Evangelical Protestant, College graduate (2%)
White Evangelical Protestant, 18-29 (2%)
White Evangelical Protestant, Post-graduate (2%)
White Mainline Protestant, 18-29 (2%)
White Catholic, 18-29 (1%)

^will be adding more later

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/02/27/how-republicans-can-win-the-2018-midterms-217088

''There are a record number of GOP retirements—42, so far—including many in the kinds of suburban districts that will be hardest for the party to hold''

as I have stated before, the suburbs are what matters

AHHHHHHH

PA-18 IS NOW A TOSSUP

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Wtf, what's happening?

@everyone 🚨 SPECIAL ELECTION ALERT 🚨

Isnt there voting today

>Connecticut House of Rep. District 120 - vote Bill Cabral

>Kentucky House of Rep. District 89 - vote Robert Goforth

Arizona, New Hampshire Kentucky and Connecticut

>New Hampshire House of Rep. District Belknap County No. 3 - vote Les Cartier

>Arizona GOP Senate primary vote Martha McSally

Is there a timeline for all these special elections?