Message from @AHeroQuest
Discord ID: 509113196955697152
the migrant caravans are coming at a perfect time, relatively speaking.
Trump's wall was a huge matter that he kept pushing, and now that there are... THREE of them, on their way, last I heard, with one reaching over 12,000 people...
Yeah, that's getting Trump's base fired up.
nat silver said a 2-3 point error means R;s win
It's really hard to say what will happen.
It's like trying to predict the weather, too many factors
thats fucking amrgin of error
didn't Nat silver also say theres a 40% chance he's wrong?
With all the talk of Republicans going to loose, it is going to bring his voter base and the working class to vote.
yup
IIRC Nate also said it could just as easily go the other way though.
hes in coin toss terrirtory
They are forgetting that.
Again.
Nate Silver tends to hedge his statements. He was the only one to put a reasonable chance of Trump in 2016. I actually was talking with some statisticians and we were trying to figure out why Nate's polls seemed so out of line with everyone else.
Plus they never let up on the identarian talk against whites. Whites make up majority of the working class.
If one more big event happens today that manages to hit the news before the election tomorrow, it would properly seal it.
but even as it stands, I think republicans are likely to win this one.
I think he just likes being careful.
also Tim, timcast gaming video when? 😛
Center seems pretty motivated to vote R on federals this year, I went Libertarian 2016
im planning a longform video on harry potter
like how fucked up the wizarding world is
Man.... what is her name, the one that made Harry Potter.
lol.
gotta be honest, i did not see that answer coming
JK rowling
Have you heard about the harry potter religion?
That's wild.
what?
She basically disappointed me in her talks.
pratel back up
I believe your interpretation of the data. But my interpretation say house is either +2 GOP over middle or dems +6 over middle.
How ignorant she seem to be on the actual topics.
a religion based around harry potter?
Too close too call
Yes, literally @Blackhawk342
People want to believe in magic.
magic IS real bro
MEME MAGIC!!!