paypal.me/timcast

He got Patreon 4AM

I really have no idea. Things are very open right now.

If the voting bases are energized.

You bet the working class is too.

Im gonna need you guys to vote Rep

I already voted republican.

Gotcha, bookmarked

If reps win both house and senate, i get laid

Cant vote straight republican

so err... help a brother out

An different republican compared to Marry Fallins.

Already voted, 2 hour line today

Aka Marry Failing.

my work is not about being right its about trying to understand things

I often offer up my opinions after reading relevant knews

You had all the data, I was just hoping you make the connection.

I thought your work was to give us information and your expert Timpinion?

if my prediction is wrong so be it

I think there's possibilities for Republicans in MI, NJ and even CA. Dems definitely have possibilities in GA, TX and AZ.

the migrant caravans are coming at a perfect time, relatively speaking.

Trump's wall was a huge matter that he kept pushing, and now that there are... THREE of them, on their way, last I heard, with one reaching over 12,000 people...

Yeah, that's getting Trump's base fired up.

https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/192084817385488385/509054762319347723/image0.png

nat silver said a 2-3 point error means R;s win

It's really hard to say what will happen.

It's like trying to predict the weather, too many factors

thats fucking amrgin of error

didn't Nat silver also say theres a 40% chance he's wrong?

With all the talk of Republicans going to loose, it is going to bring his voter base and the working class to vote.

yup

IIRC Nate also said it could just as easily go the other way though.

hes in coin toss terrirtory

They are forgetting that.

Again.

Nate Silver tends to hedge his statements. He was the only one to put a reasonable chance of Trump in 2016. I actually was talking with some statisticians and we were trying to figure out why Nate's polls seemed so out of line with everyone else.

Plus they never let up on the identarian talk against whites. Whites make up majority of the working class.

If one more big event happens today that manages to hit the news before the election tomorrow, it would properly seal it.

but even as it stands, I think republicans are likely to win this one.

I think he just likes being careful.

also Tim, timcast gaming video when? 😛

Center seems pretty motivated to vote R on federals this year, I went Libertarian 2016

im planning a longform video on harry potter

statistics were nice while it lasted 🙄