Message from @Blackhawk342
Discord ID: 509115495946125322
If it ends
#resistorangeman
Fallout!
Pratel then why are there a bunch of articles about how the dems are scared of losing the elections?
*That said* I believe the bases are shifting, and if so, the old "low/high turnout" rule might be reversing.
A lot of old people there
@Timcast Oh yeah Timcast, they are discounting Democrats leaving their party and heading independent.
Shouldnt the high turn out sooth democrat fears, not kick them into overdrive?
You can find anyone articles of people saying anything you want if you look hard enough.
With #walkaway.
I've found articles indicating Republicans are pulling out of some races.
Most of them switching over to Republican
I don't trust chatter.
#OrangeManBad #BlueWave #LetWomenDecide #NoMenMidterm
My gut says Repub just because of the independent vote
You can, but you have to be careful what you read and how.
Indeed, information overload is a major problem in modern society
Chatter is often going to be affected by whom you talk to.
More than solid facts on the ground.
60/40 democrats take the house, but by no more than 5 seats.
Lord of dankness my old friend
Normies oppressing us again
Watching commies flee on live-streaming
Farming keks with all this dank meme-ing
Fight the brainwashing that was planted while in Yale
"Fuckin' white male"
Fighting for "Social Justice"
"What's remarkable is that although Democrats have been losing over 80% of "toss-up" races over the past 2 cycles, this time it appears pundits are predicting Dems just take all the toss-ups." LOL
House is a toss-up would be extremely surprising to see Dems take majority in senate
@Timcast How many Republicans voters have even been disenfranchise? Most republicans stay republican, don't switch parties like young democrat voters. Also the Generation is just getting into voter age, the ones that are Republican.
This is the first election that gen Z gets to vote in right?
the main reason SIlver leans for D's is that R's are defending more
so there is more to lose for republicans than dems
Yes Black.
but thats faultly logic
@ExceptionalFeather not a toss up at all, you're buying into skewed polls
another factor we have to think about is the "by any means necessary" factor. we already have charges of hacking being laid against the georgia democrat party.
some 1st some second Blackhawk
you could argue people prefer incumbents
I don;t look at polls :/
and Ds face an uphill battle
@Timcast Think about Generation Z who is overwhelmingly Republican are getting within voter age.
This is their first election.
Dems could literally lose because they can't meme. Memes are more powerful to youth than MSM
Not overwhelmingly, they are close to equal parts Liberal and Conservative, just moreso than previous generations
Nate takes into account incumbent advantage. He tends to emphasize it heavily in his analysis.