Message from @Walsp
Discord ID: 509114925675839488
Interesting.
Well all we can do is give our opinion and just see.
Reason and the past says Reps will lose the house,
But 2016 has given us all reason to belive Reps will just win it all
I think 2016 was more decided in peoples minds
I can see Reps losing the house
I'm in a glorious district for voting. I've got Debbie Wasserman Schultz as the incumbent.
The outcome threw a little bit of doubt into everyone's minds
Voter Turnout is insane
everyone is angry
resist vs kavanaugh
22k turnout 4 years ago in my county
FWIW, 2016 was fairly low turnout which generally favors Republicans. 2018 is looking historically high.
Just today at early voting something like 500 in one polling place
Usually that favors D's.
check out Bill Mitchell and Larry Schweikart on twitter, they lay out the latest numbers and show big wins for the repubs
You need got feelings, some races have stale 2 weeks old polls. It makes number crunching difficult.
All polls always favor Democrats.
#resistorangeman
Fallout!
Pratel then why are there a bunch of articles about how the dems are scared of losing the elections?
*That said* I believe the bases are shifting, and if so, the old "low/high turnout" rule might be reversing.
A lot of old people there
@Timcast Oh yeah Timcast, they are discounting Democrats leaving their party and heading independent.
Shouldnt the high turn out sooth democrat fears, not kick them into overdrive?
You can find anyone articles of people saying anything you want if you look hard enough.
With #walkaway.
I've found articles indicating Republicans are pulling out of some races.
Most of them switching over to Republican
I don't trust chatter.
#OrangeManBad #BlueWave #LetWomenDecide #NoMenMidterm
My gut says Repub just because of the independent vote
You can, but you have to be careful what you read and how.
Indeed, information overload is a major problem in modern society
Chatter is often going to be affected by whom you talk to.
More than solid facts on the ground.
60/40 democrats take the house, but by no more than 5 seats.
It both helps and hurts that anyone can publish anything