Message from @SPOOKY Phil, Ruler of Heck

Discord ID: 650729555828539392


2019-12-01 15:53:06 UTC  

its comes from inference of the options the oppenent happens, it is the exact same reason deterance works

2019-12-01 15:53:29 UTC  

I work with game theory every day, I know what it's good for and I also know its limitations

2019-12-01 15:54:09 UTC  

Basically the more mistakes your opponent makes, the more you can deviate to gain an advantage

2019-12-01 15:54:28 UTC  

i do too, let me shift from the matrix real quick, and get you the probability graph, i want to see your opinion

2019-12-01 15:58:19 UTC  

http://eprisner.de/MAT109/KuhnOdds2.png

obvisouly it is not as simple as the martix above, that is simply to just help those unfamilar understand the prisoners delema, (which in my opinon is very similar to the binary choice of identity polics or not). We could expand these options further of course, but i still beleive after several iterations of the game, which we see every poltical election, it is known to both parties that the optimal thing for an election is to bring up identity poltics

2019-12-01 15:58:58 UTC  

every local election is a round, every state, federal ect

2019-12-01 16:00:44 UTC  

both sides are approaching perfect infomation and how the other side wins or loses their elections. the democrat who in the primary that does not bring enough identity poltics will lose, proven fact. the republicans use these rounds to understand that they have to be the reaction to this, also go and use identity poltics to win, its the SAD NASH

2019-12-01 16:02:10 UTC  

I don't know what that graph shows exactly

2019-12-01 16:02:28 UTC  

expansion of options from binary to multivariate

2019-12-01 16:02:44 UTC  

I mean I'm not familiar with the options and values

2019-12-01 16:02:46 UTC  

which is what real game theory is

2019-12-01 16:03:04 UTC  

It looks nice but I have no clue what scenario this is supposed to be

2019-12-01 16:05:08 UTC  

it is used as an example to show the expanding complexity, its not labeled at all of course,

i dont think you or I could actually find every variable in the poltical game, but it is obvisouly not binary.

2019-12-01 16:05:50 UTC  

Oh ok

2019-12-01 16:05:50 UTC  

https://theinnovativemanager.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Game-Theory-Thumbnail-final.jpg

do you usually work with two factor probability graphs like this?

2019-12-01 16:05:55 UTC  

I thought it was a specific example

2019-12-01 16:06:40 UTC  

those graphs are okay for two factors, but the second you start adding more variables it is impossible to visually describe

2019-12-01 16:06:42 UTC  

jeeez that quote from biden

2019-12-01 16:06:45 UTC  

<:pepelaugh:544857300179877898>

2019-12-01 16:06:51 UTC  

I think maybe there's a misunderstanding, I use game theory everyday for my work, but I don't create game theory scenarios for various fields

2019-12-01 16:06:56 UTC  

That's just a theory.....

2019-12-01 16:06:57 UTC  

"And by the way I sit on a stand, I got hot, I got hairy legs that turn, that, that, that, turn blond in the sun. And the kids used to come up and reach in and pull and rub my legs, and watch the hairs rise up again. So I learned about roaches. I learned about kids jumping up on my lap. And I love kids jumping on my lap." - Joe Biden

2019-12-01 16:07:01 UTC  

A GAME THEORY

2019-12-01 16:07:02 UTC  

<:pepelaugh:544857300179877898>

2019-12-01 16:07:07 UTC  
2019-12-01 16:07:33 UTC  

@ETBrooD oh understood, i thought you had a better grasp

2019-12-01 16:07:37 UTC  

sorry

2019-12-01 16:07:37 UTC  

@UnScottable Oh god, that's getting closer and closer to "I was on Epstein's plane, and I apologize"

2019-12-01 16:07:53 UTC  

i mean you just cant make this shit up

2019-12-01 16:07:57 UTC  

Which wouldn't surprise me

2019-12-01 16:08:15 UTC  

@UnScottable imagine a world where biden actually wins

2019-12-01 16:08:18 UTC  

I have a good grasp on how game theory works, but I know more about general strategy including human variables

2019-12-01 16:09:09 UTC  

What I know is that politics is mostly unsolved, anything could happen at any moment. There are some better strategies than others, but no definitively best one at the moment (at least not one that is known to anyone).

2019-12-01 16:09:12 UTC  

that world be so boooring. itd be a lame duck president. that just does whatever the dems want but otherwise forgets where he is <:pepelaugh:544857300179877898>

2019-12-01 16:09:19 UTC  

when using multivariate game theory, just as using multivariate analyis, it allows us to predict fairly well

2019-12-01 16:09:50 UTC  

better than lets say binary

2019-12-01 16:09:58 UTC  

I doubt anyone could've predicted the true success rate for either party in 2016

2019-12-01 16:09:58 UTC  

in perspective, it will never be perfect

2019-12-01 16:11:02 UTC  

@ETBrooD companies like data analytics could, and its companies like them which control the propaganda and who to push it too. you would be surprised how awesome it is to have everyones facebook day 😉

2019-12-01 16:11:18 UTC  

who cares about the normal people! we out here fore money

2019-12-01 16:11:35 UTC  

Politics is too big for this to be calculated precisely