Message from @MechMage

Discord ID: 626298692999315466


2019-09-25 05:00:06 UTC  

Social mobility is a tool of the bourgeoisie to use hope and prosperity to rob the proletariat of their revolutionary spirit. How shameful!

2019-09-25 05:45:24 UTC  

🤔

2019-09-25 05:49:24 UTC  

I haven't read the study cited but there is another confounding factor (among many) which is the range of affluence in the country. If a country has a very high upper range of wealth (as in, say, the US or UK, where billionaires are a thing), if you divide the socioeconomic classes into the same number of buckets as a country with a much tighter spread, they will be much further apart from each other. In which case, even if the economic mobility is the same in absolute or even relative terms, i.e. a given child in either country has a 50% chance of rising 50% above his parents in income, the apparent mobility in the country with the wider spread will be lower, because that 50% increase in income will be less likely to cross one of the arbitrary borderlines between "classes" even though that person would have experienced the same 50% increase in standard of living as their neighbor in the other country who crossed into a "different" socioeconomic bracket.

2019-09-25 05:50:14 UTC  

The total spread shouldn't affect the correlation since it's scaled to the variance.

2019-09-25 05:50:46 UTC  

Assuming that's how they produced those numbers obviously.

2019-09-25 05:51:41 UTC  

the variance in what measure?

2019-09-25 05:52:14 UTC  

The variance of the income.

2019-09-25 05:53:04 UTC  

As in the expected value of the square of an individual's income minus the square of the expected value of that individual's income.

2019-09-25 05:55:02 UTC  

I'm talking about the size of the categories used to define "low income" and "high income"

2019-09-25 05:55:33 UTC  

Those are usually in terms of national percentile.

2019-09-25 05:57:25 UTC  

exactly

2019-09-25 05:57:43 UTC  

I don't see your point.

2019-09-25 06:00:14 UTC  

Well, in a small african nation if you make eleven dollars a year you're in the top 1%, so it's way easier to get a huge leg up on your parents. In America, it's like 100 grand a year or some shit, so it's significantly more difficult to, say, go from middle to upper class

2019-09-25 06:00:47 UTC  

Depends on the general trend of wealth in the country.

2019-09-25 06:00:55 UTC  

But, uncephalized, unless I read the study wrong, they're actually measuring the absolute amount of money rather than the individual countries subjective class distinctions

2019-09-25 06:01:13 UTC  

The difference in moneys made a year rather than the difference in, say, tax bracket

2019-09-25 06:01:32 UTC  

The wealth of a country doesn't necessarily relate to income mobility.

2019-09-25 06:01:34 UTC  

@Louis Carlos Fer they are using a pretty sophisticated measure which is percent of variance inherited across and within families

2019-09-25 06:01:40 UTC  

but hang on a sec

2019-09-25 06:05:40 UTC  

Say we have two countries, Egalitaria and Ancapistan. Both have their incomes divided into quartiles:

Egalitaria: Q1 $0 - $20,000, Q2 $20,001 - $55,000, Q3 $55,001 - $120,000, Q4 $120,001+
Ancapistan: Q1 $0 - $30,000, Q2 $30,001 - $100,000, Q3 $100,001 - $400,000, Q4 $400,000+

In Egalitaria a person could go from 'low income' to 'medium income' by jumping from $12k to $24k, whereas in Ancapistan, both of those incomes are still in Q1, because the spread of incomes is much larger, and so the categories are larger as well--but in either country, their income and material standard of living would still have doubled.

2019-09-25 06:07:24 UTC  

Presumably being in Ancapistan makes gaining $12k in income easier than it would be in Egalitaria.

2019-09-25 06:07:38 UTC  

easier isn't the right word.

2019-09-25 06:07:42 UTC  

I should say "more likely"

2019-09-25 06:07:58 UTC  

Otherwise Ancapistan wouldn't have a greater wealth spread.

2019-09-25 06:09:40 UTC  

Perhaps. That would have to be compiled from data on historical economic mobility. 😉

2019-09-25 06:09:50 UTC  

hard to come by in fictional countries

2019-09-25 06:10:27 UTC  

The whole point is to compare mobility.

2019-09-25 06:11:20 UTC  

It is possible that a nation with a higher wealth spread has lower absolute mobility but I think those charts generally chart relative mobility.

2019-09-25 06:14:21 UTC  

Certainly possible in a more rigid class-based society.

2019-09-25 06:14:41 UTC  

I'm not throwing shade on that study btw, so far it seems to be pretty rigorous.

2019-09-25 06:40:18 UTC  

@Fondboy I'm in AEST. It's currently 1640 here

2019-09-25 11:57:51 UTC  

So pick a time after 2200 my time, preferably on the weekend but whenever. Let's have a chat

2019-09-25 11:58:02 UTC  

I still don't see why that can't happen here

2019-09-25 12:02:15 UTC  

My money is now on fondboy having a discord-debate-ASMR fetish. Must be why he always asks for voice and records people

2019-09-25 12:06:06 UTC  

We're constantly blue-balling him with all this text debate

2019-09-25 13:13:14 UTC  

lol

2019-09-25 13:13:43 UTC  

it's a terrible format since every time he;s been in voice there are like 3 people trying to get a word in edgewise

2019-09-25 13:13:52 UTC  

we prolly all sound like idiots

2019-09-25 13:17:37 UTC  

maybe that is his purpose

2019-09-25 13:17:58 UTC  

I mean

2019-09-25 13:18:16 UTC  

I admire his bravery violating multiple state's laws