so that leaves you 112 short

not including the 13 in scotland the tories are likely to lose

They'll also run candidates in the seats that ejected tories held

They're not though

Aberdeen and the borders are going to keep their tories

possibly

Not possibly, I live up here, those are going to be retained, Id be very surprised otherwise

and i'm not trying to be unkind, but 410+ is absurd, 380 is still obscenely and unrealistically optomistic

Not according to polling

the polling relies on models that haven't been built to take into account brexit

The polls just ask people what they're voting

yes, it's a sample

Theres a reason they're 15% ahead though

i don't doubt that they're 15% ahead

So whence cometh doubt

how many would be enough to get sht done?

320?

326 required for majority

Brexit has polarised the vote, just because they're 15% ahead in the polls doesn't mean a large majority

Yes it does

It absolutely does

so 340 would be like... everything proposed pretty much gets through... even with a little bit of rebels here and there

Yes, Wacka, and at this stage it's what i'm predicting

and 330 would be most stuff

330 is what Cameron got in 2015

To put it in perspective, Tony Blair won his landslide with a 13% lead

Eccles: Predict a million things, one thing happens.
Eccles "See, I told you guys"

das rite

immma make a prediction....

tory win... with ... 338 seats

i predicted we wouldn't be leaving on oct 31st on no deal

Is that supposed to be an impressive prediction

no, jack, but people on here were insistent we would

i'm surprised they allowed an election so easily

Probably retarded americans

Labour's hand was forced

so after boris wins on 12th... when can they put his deal through?

i'm not actually all that pleased at the prospect of a tory government, tbh

and finish up brexit

by 31st jan, presumably, wacka

They can push it through pretty easily after