Message from @notaglobe

Discord ID: 639801472711655453


2019-11-01 12:16:42 UTC  

It could cause a small split in the Labour vote which could win the Conservatives some seats particularly in the North

2019-11-01 12:17:12 UTC  

They'll big up farage as a threat and he'll ultimately not affect the tories from winning

2019-11-01 12:17:28 UTC  

who knows

2019-11-01 12:17:38 UTC  

again, predictions are just that

2019-11-01 12:17:52 UTC  

I was certain that the country would vote pro-eu in 2015

2019-11-01 12:18:00 UTC  

so I'm not confident in any predictions, inc my own

2019-11-01 12:19:42 UTC  

short of some BP popularity surge for some reason (don't see how, what could change between now and dec?) i don't see them being a huge threat

2019-11-01 12:20:11 UTC  

BP message has been pretty constant

2019-11-01 12:20:30 UTC  

they might just become a target for all the bile taking the target off other peoples shoulders

2019-11-01 12:20:48 UTC  

If the tories publish a disastrous manifesto.

2019-11-01 12:21:00 UTC  

remember how UKIP took all the hate and NF was put on platforms as the "reasonable alternative"

2019-11-01 12:21:02 UTC  

it might just be that

2019-11-01 12:21:12 UTC  

As long as Boris doesn't make too many concessions to the Remain side of his party he should win any election

2019-11-01 12:21:29 UTC  

I haven't read the deal, but from what I'm hearing it doesn't sound positive

2019-11-01 12:21:35 UTC  

The Labour Party is split with the Lib Dems much more then the Conservatives are split with the Brexit Party

2019-11-01 12:21:42 UTC  

hopefully the election will cull all of the wets

2019-11-01 12:21:46 UTC  

My dream Boris would use the election to purge the tory party.

2019-11-01 12:21:52 UTC  

But that won’t happen

2019-11-01 12:22:06 UTC  

Boris really should just go for a No Deal

2019-11-01 12:22:33 UTC  

He should

2019-11-01 12:22:38 UTC  

Straight just repeal the european treaties on first day

2019-11-01 12:23:15 UTC  

But scrapping his “great deal” would look like a sign of weakness to his opponents

2019-11-01 12:23:23 UTC  

He shouldn't

2019-11-01 12:23:29 UTC  

No deal will not win the election

2019-11-01 12:23:33 UTC  

He would gain much more support then he would lose, The only real loss would be some Conservative MP's which wouldn't matter too much since he could just stop them from standing again

2019-11-01 12:24:00 UTC  

He could lose some Conservative moderates but he would gain more from the BXP then he would lose

2019-11-01 12:24:59 UTC  

Yeah, but because of electoral math, loosing even a little to labour can be much worse than loosing more to bxp

2019-11-01 12:25:01 UTC  

We just have to wait until they launch their bid or publish their manifesto to see what the Tories would do

2019-11-01 12:25:48 UTC  

The manifesto should be good

2019-11-01 12:25:54 UTC  

We've got a fairly decent cabinet

2019-11-01 12:28:09 UTC  

Tories, "decent cabinet", <:WaitWhatArmy:590858815189024778>

2019-11-01 12:30:42 UTC  

<:powerful:595334910764515338>

2019-11-01 12:30:46 UTC  

So unless Boris drops his deal, no pact is happening

2019-11-01 12:32:38 UTC  

That is the main demand preventing a pact

2019-11-01 12:34:06 UTC  

farage has been very consistent with his demand, he isn't going to change it. that just leaves boris but he has also rebuffed the offer over and over again

2019-11-01 12:34:07 UTC  

seems unlikely

2019-11-01 12:34:09 UTC  

So if the Americans want us to open up the NHS

2019-11-01 12:34:15 UTC  

and we are never going to open up the NHS

2019-11-01 12:34:40 UTC  

Then what happens to this wonderful amazing trade deal that was supposed to make up for all the losses from leaving the EU trade wise