I wouldn't bother paying any attention to the current polls, they have no means to accurately represent how people will vote right now.

If he does get a deal, however, and gets parliament to pass it, then all bets are off - no fucking idea what will happen at that point

I'd rather look at them then make prediction based on my own biases

Chances of that are zero to none, however

It's a check on my own thinking

yeah, but that's what the polls are currently doing, basing things on their own bias

Which is why I look at aggregate

Poll bias are typically based on their methodology

And they will have a different bias to my own if they have one.

even aggregated, these are some of the strangest political times in the history of our nation.

An online poll will over-report labour/lib dem

A telephone poll will over-report tory

Yes they are eccles

Which is why there is a reasonable balance

So it's something

Yep, well as long as people ditch this "muhtorymajority" based on 0-8% poll lead

That made me quite cross 🙂

It's more based on every agregator with those numbers predicting a Tory majority

which way do we think an election would go right now?

Boris is the most popular UK politician

His tory is polling the highest

hung parliament, aj949

labour/libdem/snp coalition

I'll go with light majority with the help of the DUP

naa, i don't think that would happen with lab/lib/snp

without a brexit party election pact, tories are fucked

yeah, but the remain parties wouldn't be able to band together

i think boris is holding fire until he knows the result of the renegotiation

yeah, they will

they wouldn't

if it's that or boris, they will

What is the law the judge is citing to make the prorogue illegal

They decided what is reasonable

They essentially decided what politics they liked more

Obscure bit of Scottish law that says parliament has to be able to sit regularly, Joshu

they are infighting amongst themselves, it would be untenable under a 3way split government

They did what British judges always fucking do - prop up the status quo

Brexit not happening then, right?

nah, aj, it'd work fine - they're practically identical parties

Not yet, noob

A month is a long time in politics