Message from @The Electric Lizard

Discord ID: 627195685221171211


2019-09-27 17:29:32 UTC  

GE means no government for 9 weeks

2019-09-27 17:29:33 UTC  

that's how confidence votes work.

2019-09-27 17:29:44 UTC  

Well we will just leave no deal then

2019-09-27 17:29:46 UTC  

Job done

2019-09-27 17:29:47 UTC  

Good

2019-09-27 17:29:57 UTC  

which is why if they had the numbers they would have done it already.

2019-09-27 17:30:16 UTC  

They might get close but no one will get a majority

2019-09-27 17:30:16 UTC  

The only party who has said they want a no confidence is the SNP

2019-09-27 17:30:21 UTC  

because they would be set to gain seats

2019-09-27 17:30:23 UTC  

The more desperate they get, the more likely they'll come around to one

2019-09-27 17:30:40 UTC  

they won't go for it, it would be political suicide

2019-09-27 17:30:49 UTC  

It's because the polls predict Labour could be set to lose around 80 seats in a GE

2019-09-27 17:31:03 UTC  

Good 🙂

2019-09-27 17:31:04 UTC  

They need to

2019-09-27 17:31:06 UTC  

Lib dems might vote for it

2019-09-27 17:31:09 UTC  

Because they would gain

2019-09-27 17:31:14 UTC  

They have been completely split

2019-09-27 17:31:21 UTC  

All they want is to guarantee they don't drop out on 31st OCT first

2019-09-27 17:31:33 UTC  

Some of their base have switched to the Lib Dems and other parts have gone to Brexit Parties

2019-09-27 17:31:35 UTC  

they won't go for it though because they know they don't have the numbers and a no deal brexit would happen.

2019-09-27 17:31:44 UTC  

Lib-Dems might

2019-09-27 17:31:46 UTC  

Maybe

2019-09-27 17:31:46 UTC  

The only way they have a chance is if they delay

2019-09-27 17:32:01 UTC  

they must force boris to delay, which he won't

2019-09-27 17:32:02 UTC  

They could probably steal a few seats from Labour if they did

2019-09-27 17:32:06 UTC  

but then I predict TBP and CON would form an electoral pact

2019-09-27 17:32:17 UTC  

Boris has promised not to

2019-09-27 17:32:19 UTC  

Farage has to drop dead first.

2019-09-27 17:32:20 UTC  

Which would by polling convert 25%~ of labour leaver to tory

2019-09-27 17:32:34 UTC  

It wouldn't be good optics for him to promise no pact and then make one

2019-09-27 17:32:35 UTC  

Current labour leaver

2019-09-27 17:33:15 UTC  

and then, the SNPs support for a GNU after a NC is stipulated on a corbyn PM

2019-09-27 17:33:24 UTC  

Which you have just admitted isnt likely to gain support

2019-09-27 17:33:58 UTC  

""Trying to find a compromise candidate, a national unity candidate, is too complicated, especially in the time we have. Whether people like it or not, the temporary prime minister has to be Corbyn.""

2019-09-27 17:34:00 UTC  

Sturgeon

2019-09-27 17:34:09 UTC  

Nah, they'd still back it

2019-09-27 17:34:18 UTC  

It would almost certainly go to a GE, unless there is a surprise coalition between Labour, Lib Dems and maybe some independent and Nationalist parties

2019-09-27 17:34:19 UTC  

Sturgeon is a wet fish.

2019-09-27 17:34:22 UTC  

they won't, enough people won't back it

2019-09-27 17:34:23 UTC  

Literally.

2019-09-27 17:34:25 UTC  

You are making a huge assumption on the basis of zero evidence