Message from @Eccles
Discord ID: 631926314869325836
Of course it's plausible. It's also electoral suicide for Labour/Lib Dems, but it does fuck brexit up
Every other party cant agree on who they want
and they dont want to compromise
However lots of things are plausible
doesnt mean its probable
Doesn't matter
It would be so narrow that it doesn't matter who leads it
🙏🏿
If extension is vetoed, then won't tories be on top in the polls? They'd get in with a majority
Beause we'd be on track to leave on the 31st still
But that's the point
Boris doesn't need to get us out by oct 31st on chicanery and things of dubious legal status
A GNU
need the tory rebels
JC doesnt get that for one
ALl he needs to do is get the extension and get the election
labour wont vote for anyone but JC
Then there is the other parties
So I doubt a VONC can work
If he forces the oppositions hands with chicanery, he's likely to lose his prime ministership AND brexit will be cancelled resetting the clock to 0 again, and we would be unlikely to get either a brexit pm to replace him, and certainly not someone with the election power of boris
SO while it's tempting for Boris to do something madladdish, it's imprudent
they would risk a GE by calling a VONC unless they can get actual support behind someone
Which they wont do
Doesn't matter, Joshu, if the sole purpose of the GNU is to cancel brexit/force an extension, then they'll do it
SInce they were going to allow a GE after anyway
Will will change my stance if a GNU actually gets labour
Until then
the evidence opposes you
So therefore i will not change my mind
It's a prediction on what would happen if Boris tried to force through a no deal in the face of the Benn act, Joshu, it's not a prediction of what's going to happen now
I think no deal will be come to, and he will go for an extension as demanded
We shall have to see
come the 19th
If he thinks, like you, he is going to win the next election in the current state, then there would be no value in him risking it with bombastic leave with no deal on the 31st action
Only reason he would force it through is if he though the election result was in question
Election maps change after an extension
it would make a TPB alliance almost nessisary
Also
Labour have also said they will demand a 2nd ref before a GE
So