We shall have to see

come the 19th

If he thinks, like you, he is going to win the next election in the current state, then there would be no value in him risking it with bombastic leave with no deal on the 31st action

Only reason he would force it through is if he though the election result was in question

Election maps change after an extension

it would make a TPB alliance almost nessisary

Also

Labour have also said they will demand a 2nd ref before a GE

So

I'd not heard that

Yup

today

Lib Dems and SNP only want an extension

Is that the one with a remain option and a "credible" leave option

Yes

great

Remain or remain with extra steps

Customs union the whole shebang

Lib Dem + SNP votes would be enough for an election

Not through FTPA

True

and ammendments to the FTPA or a bill are open to ammendments to force a 2nd ref

by labour

the news seems to disagree with you

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49998384

I may be wrong

I did read it whiole at work so may have misread

Wrong answer, right working. Had you been right, then your anaylsis would lead to Boris going balls to the wall being the only option

So yes

Though this isnt good for his chances

that will steal back some LDM voters to labour

and he still needs to keep TPB supporters on side

If he extends

He won't

Which mean he needs a pact

If he cant secure that

balls to the wall might still be the option

Because TPB will be what bring down brexit after an extension if they cant work together

Ironic really

Well they better work together then

Tories have already denied they will