Message from @Joshu
Discord ID: 631928138707763201
Will will change my stance if a GNU actually gets labour
Until then
the evidence opposes you
So therefore i will not change my mind
It's a prediction on what would happen if Boris tried to force through a no deal in the face of the Benn act, Joshu, it's not a prediction of what's going to happen now
I think no deal will be come to, and he will go for an extension as demanded
We shall have to see
come the 19th
If he thinks, like you, he is going to win the next election in the current state, then there would be no value in him risking it with bombastic leave with no deal on the 31st action
Only reason he would force it through is if he though the election result was in question
Election maps change after an extension
it would make a TPB alliance almost nessisary
Also
Labour have also said they will demand a 2nd ref before a GE
So
I'd not heard that
Yup
today
Lib Dems and SNP only want an extension
Is that the one with a remain option and a "credible" leave option
great
Remain or remain with extra steps
Customs union the whole shebang
Lib Dem + SNP votes would be enough for an election
Not through FTPA
True
and ammendments to the FTPA or a bill are open to ammendments to force a 2nd ref
by labour
the news seems to disagree with you
I may be wrong
I did read it whiole at work so may have misread
Wrong answer, right working. Had you been right, then your anaylsis would lead to Boris going balls to the wall being the only option
So yes
Though this isnt good for his chances
that will steal back some LDM voters to labour
and he still needs to keep TPB supporters on side
If he extends
He won't
Which mean he needs a pact